Nuggets vs Suns Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (Defenses Take Backseat at Footprint Center)

The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Sunday, May 7 with Game 4 of the second-round series between the Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns.

Nuggets vs Suns Game 4 Info

• Series: DEN leads 2-1
• Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Footprint Center -- Phoenix, Arizona
• Coverage: TNT

The Suns finally got their first win of the series, notching a 121-114 victory in Game 3. The Nuggets couldn't do anything to slow down Devin Booker, who finished with a game-high 47 points on 20-of-25 shooting (80.0%). Not to be outdone, Kevin Durant also had a huge night, finishing with 39 points, nine rebounds, and eight assists.

Nuggets vs Suns Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: DEN: (+132) | PHO: (-156)
• Spread: DEN: +3.5 (-110) | PHO: -3.5 (-110)
• Total: 227 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Suns enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 227 points with both sides available at -110 odds. 

Nuggets vs Suns Betting Trends

• Denver is 1-6 straight up (SU) in its last seven road games.
• Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last seven games.
• Denver is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games against Phoenix.
• Phoenix is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 home games played on a Sunday.
• The total has hit the over in five of Denver's last seven games.
• The total has hit the over in six of Phoenix's last nine games against Denver.

Nuggets vs Suns Prediction & Pick

Momentum is fully on the Suns' side heading into Game 4. They have a terrific opportunity to tie up the series seeing as how the Nuggets aren't great away from Ball Arena, going 20-24 SU on the road with a minus-3.0 averaging scoring margin (11th-worst). For comparison, Phoenix is 31-14 SU with a plus-4.9 margin (eighth-best) this season.

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It's also clear that the Nuggets have no answer for Booker and Durant, who are averaging 36.3 and 30.7 points, respectively, in this series. I don't expect that to change considering how Denver tends to play poorer in Phoenix, losing in six of its last seven trips to Ball Arena while getting outscored by an average of 11 points over that span.

With a 71.9% winning percentage as the betting favorite this year, I feel good about the Suns capitalizing on their newfound momentum. Back Phoenix to even this series, turning it into a best-of-three situation.

Final Score Prediction: Suns: 120 | Nuggets: 115

Nuggets vs Suns Best Bet

For Game 4's best bet, I'm going with the Over on the 227-point total — a number that's been surpassed twice through three games. The Suns have experienced more points than projected in eight of their last 11 games, as well as in all but one of their latest six home contests. On the other side, the Over is 5-2 in the Nuggets' last seven games and 8-4 in their previous 12 matchups in May.

With the offensive talent on both sides, finishing with more than 227 points isn't that big of an ask.

Bet: Over 227 Total Points (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.