3 Strikeout Props to Target for Wednesday 7/3/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
3 Strikeout Props to Target for Wednesday 7/3/24

The lengthy MLB season offers a wide array of bets via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Strikeout props are among the popular lines offered. These bets can focus on the over/under of a starting pitcher's strikeout total or alternate lines can be utilized for more intriguing odds.

In this piece, we will dive into the stats to back our favorite strikeout props of the day across the MLB's slate. Which pitchers taking the mound could rack up Ks or which may stumble? We have plenty of tools available that can help us zero in on the top picks, and we'll use stats from numberFire's daily fantasy baseball projections, Baseball Savant, and FanGraphs.

Here are some of the most enticing strikeout props at FanDuel Sportsbook for today's games.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Strikeout Props

Trevor Rogers Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-144)

Despite failing to reach six strikeouts for seven straight starts, Trevor Rogers' strikeout prop is still set at 5.5. Considering his recent production, the under is clearly standing out from the crowd.

Simply looking at Rogers' stats says enough. He carries a 17.4 strikeout percentage (K%), sits in the bottom 40% of chase rate, and is in the bottom 24% of whiff rate. With such low numbers across the board, this line is a bit puzzling.

The Boston Red Sox carrying the fifth-highest K% is holding a ton of weight for this prop -- perhaps too much. Boston's Ks have actually been down at 8.25 per game over the last four compared to their season average of 9.44.

Rogers' only pitches with a K% of over 20.0% are carried by his four-seam fastball (23.6%) and changeup (21.8%). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have the 10th-most runs above average against fastballs and the most when facing changeups.

Boston has seen their strikeout production go down, and Rogers doesn't exactly hold the most impressive K numbers.

Christian Scott Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)

The New York Mets' Christian Scott made his MLB debut in May, appearing in five games with a 3.90 ERA. Even with the solid start, the Mets decided to demote Scott going into June.

After one month in Triple-A, Scott is back in the big leagues. He got the job done in four starts during his time in the minors, giving up only one run in each outing. However, our focus is on his strikeouts.

Scott averaged only 3.7 Ks over his last three games donning a Mets uniform. This stayed around the same in his final two outings in Triple-A, averaging 3.0 strikeouts.

Today's opponent -- the Washington Nationals -- isn't a strikeout-happy team, for they have the 10th-lowest K%. The Nats have averaged only 6.5 strikeouts per game in this series, further proving their ability to avoid strikeouts.

The Mets' rookie rarely makes batters chase as he is in the bottom 20% of the category. His swinging-strike percentage is decent, sitting in the 44th percentile. However, Washington also has the answer for this as they are tied for the seventh-lowest swinging-strike percentage.

Shota Imanaga Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-112)

The Philadelphia Phillies have the 16th-highest K% at 21.7%. This gets more susceptible when the Phillies face lefties, jumping to 22.8% (ninth-highest).

Shota Imanaga could take advantage of this weakness, for he's among the top half of K%, chase rate, and whiff percentage as a southpaw. The Chicago Cubs' hurler has been one of the league's best starters at making batters chase pitches out of the strike zone; he's in the 95th percentile of the category. Meanwhile, the Phillies have the 10th-highest chase rate.

Philadelphia has been striking out at an alarming rate over the last three games, racking up 11.0 Ks each contest. Imanaga has failed to reach six strikeouts over his last two outings, but this is gearing up to be a favorable matchup.

Ultimately, I'm leaning into Philly's tendency to strike out against lefties. With an uptick in Ks for the Phillies, it only further supports over 5.5 strikeouts for Imanaga.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.