MLB

3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Tuesday 6/25/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Tuesday 6/25/24

Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.

Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.

MLB DFS Value Plays

Mitch Spence, P, Athletics ($7,400)

This is a pretty lackluster slate for low-salary arms, but Mitch Spence is coming off his best start of the season and gets a plus matchup versus the Los Angeles Angels tonight.

The Oakland Athletics' righty has pitched to a 3.86 ERA across 18 appearances, though he's only recently entered the starting rotation. In seven starts, Spence has a 3.68 ERA -- backed up by a 4.17 xFIP and 4.20 SIERA.

As a starter, Spence's 18.1% K rate leaves something to be desired, but he's done a good job limiting walks (5.2% BB%) and keeping the ball on the ground (46.2% GB%).

The fantasy production has been hit-or-miss -- though Spence has notched at least 28 FanDuel points in three starts. He's coming off his best outing of the season, a 37-FanDuel point gem that saw him set season-highs for strikeouts (7) and swinging-strikes (12).

Tonight's matchup with the Angels sets him up to continue this upward trajectory. LA has the fifth-worst wRC+ (85) in baseball this month, and they've struggled against right-handed pitchers all season.

In that split, the Angels rank 24th in wOBA (.298) and 25th in wRC+ (90) while striking out at an above average, 23.2% clip. They have the ninth-highest groundball rate (43.1%) against righties, too.

With +9500 odds to record the most strikeouts today, Spence makes for an interesting extreme longshot in the daily strikeout leader market, too.

As of Tuesday afternoon, we project Spence for 27.8 FanDuel points. That ranks 10th among starting pitchers but makes him the 4th-best point-per-dollar value at the position (3.75 FanDuel points per $1,000).

David Hamilton, SS/2B, Red Sox ($2,800)

With the Boston Red Sox operating as one of Tuesday's top stacks against the Toronto Blue Jays, we can certainly turn to their lineup for some value.

Righty Kevin Gausman will toe the rubber for Toronto. In prior seasons, this would be a matchup to avoid, but Gausman hasn't been his usual self in 2024.

Through 15 starts, the 33-year-old has a 4.24 ERA and 1.29 WHIP -- both his worst marks since 2019. On top of that, his K rate has dwindled to 23.1%, and he's only generating whiffs at an 11.2% clip. Those are noticeably worse than the 31.1% K rate and 12.9% swinging-strike rate he put up last season.

At the same time, Gausman has let up the highest barrel rate of his career (11.1%) while his hard-hit rate is north of 40% for the second straight season. That's resulted in some less-than-ideal ERA indicators, namely a 5.15 xERA, 3.50 xFIP, and 3.67 SIERA.

But his struggles bode well for the Sox tonight, so I'll happily command David Hamilton's services at $2.8K.

The lefty-hitting middle infielder has been a stellar in his first full MLB season. Though he sometimes sits against southpaws, he's posted a .367 wOBA, .195 ISO, and 134 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers.

Hamilton's been a menace on the base paths, too, using his 92nd-percentile sprint speed to leg out a league-leading 12 stolen bases this month.

He's also belted out three home runs in June, including one last night.

After last night's two-run blast, all five of his homers have come against righties. For Dinger Tuesday, Hamilton sports +830 odds to hit a home run on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Salvador Perez, C/1B, Royals ($3,000)

The Kansas City Royals have the slate's second-highest implied total (5.43) in their matchup with the Miami Marlins, yet only two of their hitters have salaries north of $3K.

Miami is starting righty Yonny Chirinos tonight. Though Chirinos only gave up two runs in his only previous start this season, we have an 85-inning sample from 2023 that suggests he's not someone to fear.

Across 20 appearances last season, Chirinos posted a 5.40 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His ERA indicators -- 6.24 xERA, 4.97 xFIP, and 4.97 SIERA -- weren't much better, and that explains why he allowed at least three runs in all but one start.

With a righty on the bump, I'll happily turn back to veteran Salvador Perez. Against right-handed pitchers this season, Perez owns a .353 wOBA, .195 ISO, and 127 wRC+.

Salvy is coming off an 18.7-FanDuel point outing in yesterday's series opener, one that saw him blast his 12th home run of the season.

In Chirinos' 2023 struggles, he surrendered 1.59 HR/9 and a 9.2% barrel rate. That could boost Perez's power prospects tonight, especially considering 10 of his 12 home runs have come in this split. He has +330 odds to hit a home run for Dinger Tuesday.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.