Texas vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 30 (Longhorns, Bears Go Back-and-Forth in Big 12 Battle)

Updated:
Texas vs Baylor Game Info
- 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
- No. 10 Texas (17-4, 6-2 Big 12) vs. No. 17 Baylor (16-5, 5-3 Big 12)
- Date: Monday, January 30, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moody Center -- Austin, Texas
The No. 10 Texas Longhorns look to stand tall tonight when they host the No. 17 Baylor Bears for a Big 12 showdown at 9 p.m. ET.
Texas looks to bounce back after Saturday's 82-71 loss to ranked Tennessee, which saw the Longhorns trailing by 12 points at halftime. It won't be easy beating Baylor, though. The Bears rattled off their sixth straight win with a 67-64 victory against Arkansas, highlighted by LJ Cryer and Jalen Bridges combining for 44 points.
Can a return home get Texas back on the winning path? Or will Baylor add to the host team's woes with an impressive road effort?
Texas vs Baylor Odds & Spread
- All college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: TEXAS: (-178) | BAYLOR: (+146)
- Spread: TEXAS: -3.5 (-114) | BAYLOR: +3.5 (-106)
- Total: 145.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Texas enters this contest as the slight home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 145.5 points with over favored at -115.
Texas vs Baylor Betting Trends
- Texas has covered the spread eight times in 21 games.
- The Longhorns have an ATS record of 6-11 as 3.5-point favorites or more.
- There have been 12 Texas' games (out of 21) that hit the over this season.
- Baylor has covered the spread 11 times in 21 games.
- Out of Baylor's 21 games so far this season, 11 have hit the over.
Texas Rank | Texas AVG | Baylor AVG | Baylor Rank | |
---|---|---|---|---|
25th | 80 | Points Scored | 78.8 | 36th |
126th | 67.5 | Points Allowed | 69 | 171st |
149th | 32.6 | Rebounds | 32 | 186th |
146th | 9 | Off. Rebounds | 10.8 | 30th |
217th | 7.1 | 3pt Made | 9.2 | 25th |
16th | 16.7 | Assists | 15.2 | 52nd |
105th | 11.4 | Turnovers | 12.2 | 186th |
Texas vs Baylor Prediction & Pick
This is a clash between two of the better offenses in the nation, however, I'm giving the slight edge to Texas. While Baylor averages 78.8 PPG (No. 25) on 44.7% shooting (No. 139), Texas operates on an 80.0 PPG clip (No. 16) while making 48.1% of its field goals (No. 18).
Baylor also has its fair share of turnover issues, coughing the ball up on 17.7% of offensive possessions (No. 137). Unfortunately for the Bears, the Longhorns are great at forcing turnovers, averaging 16.3 takeaways per game (No. 17).
Considering how Texas has one of the best scoring margins in the country (plus-12.5, No. 8) and Baylor is a minus-2.4 on the road, it's clear that Texas has what it takes to overcome its visiting Big 12 rival.
Final Score Prediction: Texas: 78 | Baylor: 75
Texas vs Baylor Best Bet
Even though I see Texas winning tonight, Baylor could still keep things closer than expected. After all, the Longhorns have been horrible against the spread, going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 outings. Meanwhile, the Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six and have covered in eight of their last 10 games played on a Monday.
Furthermore, Baylor is 3-0 as an underdog this season, so it's used to having the deck stacked. With the Longhorns also being 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games against the Bears, look for Baylor to keep the final score close while potentially pulling off an upset.
Bet: Baylor +3.5 (-106)
Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.