Red Sox vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for May 6 (Boston, Philadelphia Batters Put on Show)

Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game. / ASSOCIATED PRESS

The Boston Red Sox (20-14) put their seven-game winning streak on the line when they take on the Philadelphia Phillies (15-18) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, May 6.

Red Sox vs Phillies Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, May 6, 2023
  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park -- Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Coverage: FOX

The Red Sox opened up the three-game series on a high note, defeating the Phillies 5-3 last night. Five different Boston players recorded an RBI as Chris Sale was stellar on the mound, amassing 10 strikeouts while giving up just three runs on seven hits over six innings.

Red Sox vs Phillies Odds & Spread

  • All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: BOS: (+132) | PHI: (-156)
  • Spread: BOS: +1.5 (-154) | PHI: -1.5 (+128)
  • Total: 9.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)

The Phillies enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:15 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 9.5 runs with the Under being favored at -120 odds.

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Red Sox vs Phillies Betting Trends

  • Boston is 14-5 straight up (SU) in its last 19 games against the NL East.
  • Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last five home games against Boston.
  • The total has hit the Over in 12 of Boston's last 17 road games.
  • The total has hit the Over in four of Philadelphia's last five games played in May.

Red Sox vs Phillies Prediction & Pick

Baseball enthusiasts should brace for a fair amount of offense tonight. Red Sox starter Corey Kluber hasn't played like a two-time Cy Young winner this season. The veteran righty is just 1-4 with a 6.44 ERA through six starts and has yet to be trusted with pitching beyond the sixth inning.

The Phillies haven't gotten great pitching from Bailey Falter, either. The former 2015 fifth-rounder leads the Majors with five losses in six 2023 starts, tallying a 5.01 ERA while surrendering 10 hits per nine innings along the way.

While neither starter has played well, I like the Red Sox's chances of winning. For starters, Boston plays well against lefties, ranking No. 9 in on-base percentage (.340) and No. 13 in slugging percentage (.414) when facing southpaws.

Secondly, the Phillies' offense disappears whenever Falter takes to the mound, averaging exactly two runs through his six starts. With the Red Sox boasting the third-best offense in the MLB, I don't see the home team being able to keep pace tonight.

Final Score Prediction: Red Sox: 7 | Phillies: 3

Red Sox vs Phillies Best Bet

With both starting pitchers struggling, I'm backing the total going over 9.5 runs as the best bet tonight. It helps that the Over is 12-5 in Boston's last 17 road games, as well as 3-0-1 in Philadelphia's previous four. The Phillies have also allowed an average of 10.3 runs over that stretch, making the Over a real possibility even if the Red Sox must do most of the heavy lifting.

After combining for eight runs last night, I won't be shocked if Boston and Philly score a few more than that tonight.

Bet: Over 9.5 Total Runs (-102)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.