North Carolina vs Miami Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 13 (Expect a Close-Fought ACC Showdown)

Devon Platana
North Carolina vs Miami prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
North Carolina vs Miami prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Jacob Kupferman

North Carolina vs Miami Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • North Carolina (16-9, 8-6 ACC) vs. No. 19 Miami (20-5, 11-4 ACC)
  • Date: Monday, February 13, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Dean Smith Center -- Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Coverage: ESPN

Monday, Feb. 13's NCAA college basketball schedule features an ACC clash as the North Carolina Tar Heels host the No. 19 Miami Hurricanes at 7 p.m. ET.

North Carolina broke out of a three-game losing streak with a 91-71 victory over Clemson on Saturday, led by a game-high 23 points from Caleb Love. Meanwhile, Miami is currently on a four-game winning streak, most recently tallying a 93-85 win against Louisville.

Can North Carolina send the crowd home happy with another victory? Or will Miami extend its winning ways to five straight games?

North Carolina vs Miami Odds & Spread

North Carolina enters this contest as the clear home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 155.5 points with the under being favored at -115 odds.

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North Carolina vs Miami Betting Trends

  • North Carolina is 8-17-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Tar Heels are 8-11 as 3.5-point favorites or more.
  • There have been 12 North Carolina's games (out of 25) that hit the over this year.
  • Miami has 15 wins in 25 games against the spread this year.
  • The Hurricanes have an ATS record of 3-0 as 3.5-point underdogs or greater.
  • Miami has played 25 games this season, and 11 of them have gone over the total.
North Carolina Rank North Carolina AVG Miami AVG Miami Rank
40th 78.4 Points Scored 79 29th
251st 72.2 Points Allowed 70.4 204th
12th 36.4 Rebounds 31.9 180th
105th 9.4 Off. Rebounds 9.2 123rd
241st 6.9 3pt Made 7.7 148th
237th 12.4 Assists 15.3 42nd
45th 10.6 Turnovers 10.9 68th

North Carolina vs Miami Prediction & Pick

While Miami has more recent success, North Carolina is tough to beat at home. The Tar Heels are 11-1 straight up at Dean Smith Center thus far, where they score 81.2 PPG and average a plus-13.7 scoring margin. They've also won 12 of their previous 16 home games against the Hurricanes, including a 94-71 victory the last time they met in Chapel Hill.

On the flip side, Miami has lost four of its last six road games, as well. It doesn't help that the Hurricanes are also 2-3 as underdogs this season, whereas the Tar Heels are 16-3 as favorites. It should be a close-fought matchup, but it's clear that North Carolina is easier to trust in front of its home crowd.

Back the Tar Heels standing tall at home tonight.

Final Score Prediction: North Carolina: 78 | Miami: 76

North Carolina vs Miami Best Bet

Although I see North Carolina winning tonight, I'm actually going with Miami on the spread. For starters, the Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five games, as well as 2-5 ATS in their last seven ACC matchups.

The Hurricanes have been a lot easier to trust with the spread, going 5-2 ATS in their last seven outings. Furthermore, Miami has covered the spread in 16 of its last 20 road games.

Keeping in mind that UNC lost three straight games before its latest wins, I see Miami keeping things closer than expected with the potential to pull off an outright upset.

Bet: Miami +5.5 (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.