Mavericks vs. Pistons Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 30 (Expect a Slow Start in Dallas)

Larry Rupp
Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Detroit Pistons prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Carlos Osorio

Mavericks vs. Pistons Game Info

  • Date: Monday, January 30, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
  • Coverage: BSSW and BSDET

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Monday with eight more games, including a battle between the Detroit Pistons and Dallas Mavericks. The Pistons rank last in the Eastern Conference with a 13-38 record, while the Mavericks check in seventh in the Western Conference with a 26-25 record.

Detroit enters as a loser in five of its last six games following a close 117-114 loss to the Houston Rockets on Saturday. Meanwhile, Dallas has now dropped six of its last eight games thanks to a 108-100 loss to the Utah Jazz on Saturday. Which team will get back in the win column on Monday night?

Mavericks vs. Pistons Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DAL: (-350) | DET: (+280)
  • Spread: DAL: -8.5 (-110) | DET: +8.5 (-110)
  • Total: 229.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Mavericks enter this contest as heavy home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 229.5 points, which is below average compared to Monday's projected totals.

Mavericks vs Pistons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Mavericks -8.5 - - 230.5 -112 -110 -340 275

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Mavericks vs. Pistons Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks covered 46 times in 82 matchups with a spread last season.
  • The Pistons had an ATS record of 22-15 as underdogs of 8.5 points or greater last season.
  • A total of 31 Mavericks games last season hit the over.
  • Last season, 39 of the Pistons' 82 games went over the point total.

Mavericks vs. Pistons Prediction & Pick

Luka Doncic remains questionable to play in this game due to an ankle injury, but his absence would not have as much of an impact as usual. That's because the Pistons have been the worst team in the NBA over the last few months as they try to find their way without Cade Cunningham on the court.

Detroit ranks outside the top 25 teams when it comes to both offensive and defensive efficiency. It has also posted a dismal average scoring margin of -8.8 on the road this season. Dallas has a chance to pull away early in this one as it allows only 109.3 points per home game on the year (No. 7 in NBA).

The Mavericks have won five of their last seven games against the Pistons, too, so rock with Dallas.

Final Score Prediction: Mavericks: 117 | Pistons: 109

Mavericks vs. Pistons Best Bet

This is a matchup between teams that rarely get off to quick starts. The Pistons rank 25th in first half points per game (56.1), while the Mavericks check in 23rd (56.3). Dallas also allows only 53.3 first half points per home game (No. 2 in NBA), which goes to show they are getting the job done on both ends.

The under has cashed in the first half of 16 of Dallas' 26 home games as well as 14 of Detroit's 26 away games this season. With the possibility of Doncic sitting this one out, there's simply not enough efficient scorers to expect a first half filled with easy makes. It will be about the defensive efforts.

Bet: First Half Under 113 Points (-106)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.