Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for FCS Quarterfinals (Cardinals Fight on the Road)

Larry Rupp
Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State odds, prediction and betting trends for FCS college football quarterfinals.
Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State odds, prediction and betting trends for FCS college football quarterfinals. / AP Photos/Jed Jacobsohn
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Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State Game Info

2022 FCS Championship - Quarterfinals
Incarnate Word Cardinals (11-1) vs. Sacramento State Hornets (12-0)
Date: Friday, Dec. 9, 2022
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Hornet Stadium — Sacramento, CA
Coverage: ESPN+

The 2022 FCS Championship has reached the quarterfinals and features a battle between the Incarnate Word Cardinals and Sacramento State Hornets. Incarnate Word took down Furman, 41-38, on Saturday. Quarterback Lindsey Scott tallied 394 passing yards to go along with 5 touchdowns.

Meanwhile, Sacramento State emerged victorious over Richmond by a score of 38-31 on Saturday. Quarterback Asher O'Hara only completed five passes on the day, but two of them went for scores. Wide receiver Marshel Martin logged 148 yards and 2 touchdowns on a team-high 10 receptions.

Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State Odds & Spread

All FCS betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: UIW: (+225) | SAC: (-280)
Spread: UIW: +6.5 (-106) | SAC: -6.5 (-114)
Total: 75.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Sacramento State enters this contest as a notable home favorite on the moneyline and spread. This clash also features a total of 75.5 points, which ranks as one of the highest among the FCS playoff slate.

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Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State Prediction & Pick

This is a perfect matchup for any football fans that likes to see offenses march up and down the field with ease. Incarnate Word ranks first in the FCS in terms of points per game (51.9), while Sacramento State checks in at fourth (41.2). Each team also ranks among the top six in total yards per contest.

The Cardinals have played noticeably better on the defensive side of the ball, though. Incarnate Word allows 337.2 yards per game (No. 25 in FCS) and has racked up 39.0 sacks (No. 5 in FCS). Sacramento State gives up 374.7 yards per game (No. 57 in FCS) and has only posted 16.0 sacks (No. 109 in FCS).

Only a few defensive stops will be needed to win this game and I trust Incarnate Word to get those stops.

Final Score Prediction: Incarnate Word: 38 | Sacramento State: 35

Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State Betting Trends

- Incarnate Word is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last six away games.
- The total has hit the over in three of Incarnate Word's last five games.
- Sacramento State is 3-2 ATS in its last five games.
- The total has hit the over in four of Sacramento's last five games.

Incarnate Word vs Sacramento State Best Bet

There's a lot to like about the Cardinals' chances of keeping this game close down the stretch on Friday night. Incarnate Word has posted a turnover margin of +6, while Sacramento State's turnover margin sits a -1. The Hornets' tendency to force balls in tight coverage has resulted in interceptions.

Overall, Incarnate Word is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last six away games. While Sacramento State is undefeated, it is only 3-2 ATS in its last five games. Five of their last six games have been decided by only one possession, too. This one has all the makings of a toss up, so grab the points.

Bet: Incarnate Word +6.5 (-106)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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