Hunter Renfrow showed flashes of his full potential in his first two years with the Las Vegas Raiders, but no one saw his 2021 output coming. He finished as the No. 9 wide receiver in PPR-scoring fantasy football leagues by racking up 1,038 yards and 9 touchdowns on 103 receptions (128 targets).
With that being the case, the addition of Davante Adams has caused Renfrow to plateau in the WR3 range in fantasy football rankings. His average draft position (ADP) has him going as the 30th wide receiver off the board and as an early seventh-round selection.
Hunter Renfrow Fantasy Football Outlook
Hunter Renfrow was a fantasy darling last season and came alive when it mattered the most. From Weeks 12-17, the Las Vegas wideout racked up 501 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. That was good enough to rank as the No. 7 in PPR-scoring leagues. Renfrow showcased a level of maturity in his third year in the NFL, taking on a 21.7% target share that increased to 30.8% in the red zone. His connection with quarterback Derek Carr is obvious and it has worked wonders for the Raiders.
Yes, Renfrow is set to see a decrease in targets thanks to the addition of Davante Adams and the return of a healthy Darren Waller at tight end. That doesn't mean he can't provide consistent production, though. This is a player that dominates the slot on an offense that has ranked among the top eight NFL teams in passing yards per game in each of the last three seasons. Renfrow is as reliable as they come, showcased by his career 75.4% catch percentage.
One thing to keep in mind with Renfrow is that he enters the fall fresh off signing a two-year extension worth $32 million. The Raiders could've easily forced him to play on the final year of his contract and see what happened after the year concluded. This is guy they wanted to keep around. Head coach Josh McDaniels has proven in the past that he knows how to take smaller WRs (Julian Edelman, Wes Welker, etc.) and let them thrive. Renfrow fits that mold to a tee.
Hunter Renfrow Projections
Projections from the NFL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook expect Renfrow to put together another solid campaign. He's 16th to lead the NFL in receiving yards (+3500) and 21st to lead the NFL in receptions (+4000), which are similar spots to where he finished the 2021 season at. Renfrow's also 32nd to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns. That is obviously going to be a much harder title to take home considering he has yet to post double-digit scores in any one season. When taking Renfrow's career averages into account (4.5 receptions per game, 11.1-yard average), an 850-yard season seems to be his floor. Of course, he has already proven capable of crossing the 1,000-yard mark.
Is Hunter Renfrow a Good Fantasy Football Pick?
When it comes down to it, is Renfrow someone to target in the middle rounds? Definitely. His upside is that of a WR2, while his downside doesn't fall lower than a WR3. He's the No. 29 wide receiver in The Duel's PPR fantasy football rankings, and is a perfect target for a WR3/FLEX spot.
Renfrow's 2021 season may very well end up as the best campaign of his career. That would be concerning if his ADP was higher. However, fantasy managers can grab in him the seventh or eighth round as a WR3. The value he has at that spot is undeniable.
If you've drafted Renfrow this year, or you're a Raiders fan, make sure to check out the best Las Vegas Raiders fantasy football team names for your squad.
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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.