AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Champions League Match (Don't Expect Many Goals in Milano)

AC Milan vs Napoli Match Info

2022-23 UEFA Champions League — Quarterfinals (First Leg)
AC Milan vs. Napoli
Date: Wednesday, April 12, 2023
Time: 3 p.m. ET
Venue: Giuseppe Meazza — Milano, Italy

The 2022-23 UEFA Champions League quarterfinals continue on Wednesday, April 12 with a huge matchup between AC Milan and Napoli.

AC Milan advanced to the quarterfinals after defeating Tottenham 1-0 on aggregate. Meanwhile, Napoli went head-to-head with Eintracht Frankfurt, advancing 5-0 on aggregate. Needless to say, it's going to be interesting to see which Serie A club has what it takes to pick up the victory in Milano, Italy.

AC Milan vs Napoli Odds & Spread

All UEFA Champions League betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MIL: (+170) | NAP: (+160) | Draw (+230)
Spread: MIL: +1 (-230) | NAP: -1 (+460)
Total: 2.5 – Over: (+104) | Under: (-128)
Team to Score the First Goal: MIL: (-105) | NAP: (-105) I NO GOALS: (+900)

Napoli enters this contest as the favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 2.5 goals with the under being favored at -128 odds.

AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Pick

Soccer fans will be treated to a battle between two of the top Serie A clubs. Napoli has gotten the job done with offense lately, winning eight of its last 10 matches while outscoring opponents 21-5 along the way. Meanwhile, AC Milan's defense has helped it find success, allowing just four goals in its last nine outings.

Having said that, you don't have to go too far back to find the last time these teams met. AC Milan just picked up a massive 4-0 victory over Napoli in Serie A action on Sunday, April 2. The victory also marked the second time in the last three meetings that AC Milan has overcome its Italian rival.

Keeping that in mind, I see this matchup ending in a draw. AC Milan has momentum following its latest victory, but Napoli is Italy's top club for a reason. Considering how the duo has traded wins in the past, it'd hardly be surprising if there wasn't a victor in the first leg.

Final Score Prediction: AC Milan: 1 | Napoli: 1

AC Milan vs Napoli Betting Trends

- AC Milan went 3-1-2 (W-D-L) in the 2022-23 Champions League group stage.
- Napoli went 5-0-1 (W-D-L) in the 2022-23 Champions League group stage.
- AC Milan is 1-2-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Napoli is 3-0-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
- Napoli is 3-0-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches against AC Milan.

AC Milan vs Napoli Best Bet

Although AC Milan put up four goals against Napoli in their last clash, I don't expect another offensive explosion. After all, the four previous meetings before that saw an average of just 1.5 goals scored, finishing with two or fewer in three of those contests.

With both sides knowing how to keep the ball out of their net, I'm looking at the under as the best bet for this clash.

Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (-128)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.