Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (LA Stays Perfect at Home in Postseason)

Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (LA Stays Perfect at Home in Postseason)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Monday with Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals between the Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers.

Warriors vs. Lakers Game Info

  • Date: Monday, May 8, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena -- Los Angeles, California
  • Coverage: TNT

After taking one of the first two games on the road in this series, the Lakers defended home court in Game 3 as they beat the Warriors by a score of 127-97. Anthony Davis logged yet another double-double (25 points & 13 rebounds), while Golden State shot just 39.6% from the floor (36-of-91).

Warriors vs. Lakers Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: GSW: (+134) | LAL: (-158)
  • Spread: GSW: +3.5 (-112) | LAL: -3.5 (-108)
  • Total: 227.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Lakers enter Game 4 as home favorites on the spread and moneyline at FanDuel Sportsbook. Monday's playoff matchup also features a total of 227.5 points with each side available at -110 odds.

Lakers vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Lakers -3.5 -110 -110 228 -110 -110 -158 +134

Warriors vs. Lakers Betting Trends

  • The Lakers are 39-39-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Warriors are 7-7 ATS when underdogs by 3.5 points or more this year.
  • Games involving the Lakers have hit the over 42 times this season.
  • The Warriors have hit the over 55% of the time this season (44 of 80 games with a set point total).
  • Los Angeles has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (20-19-1) than it has in road affairs (19-20-1).
  • Golden State has performed better against the spread at home (26-13-1) than on the road (12-28-0) this year.

Warriors vs. Lakers Prediction & Pick

This game has now featured back-to-back blowouts as the Warriors won by 27 in Game 2 and the Lakers won by 30 in Game 3. LA has a chance to make a statement by going up 3-1 in the series, and I like its chances of doing just that as it has won six of its last seven home games against Golden State.

The Warriors have also lost eight of their last 10 games as underdogs, while the Lakers have won seven straight games inside Crypto.com Arena. In fact, LA's four home wins during this postseason run have come by an average of 21.5 points. Head coach Dervin Ham's team is not messing around.

It's worth pointing out the Warriors have been one of the NBA's worst road teams this season, too. After posting an 11-30 away record during the regular season, Golden State has lost three of its five road games in the playoffs and has seen a major dip in production when away from the Chase Center.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors: 112 | Lakers: 119

Warriors vs. Lakers Best Bet

Fading a Warriors team that has won four NBA titles in the last eight years is not easy, but keep in mind that Golden State is 5-15 against the spread (ATS) in its last 20 away games. It is also 1-5 ATS in its last six games against LA and has not won inside Crypto.com Arena since October of 2021.

On the other side, the Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Game 1 was the only close contest of this series so far and LA still emerged victorious by a 5-point margin, so opting to take the spread instead of the moneyline is a safe move.

Bet: Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 (-108)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.