Warriors vs Kings Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 7 (Can Kings Light the Beam One More Time?)

Warriors vs Kings Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 7 (Can Kings Light the Beam One More Time?)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Sunday, April 30 with Game 7 of the first-round series between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings.

Warriors vs Kings Game 7 Info

  • Series: Series tied 3-3
  • Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center -- Sacramento, California
  • Coverage: ABC

The Warriors failed to capitalize to advance to the second round on home court, falling 118-99 to the Kings in Game 6. De'Aaron Fox and Malik Monk led the charge for Sacramento, combining for 54 points on 18-of-32 shooting.

Warriors vs Kings Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: GSW: (-116) | SAC: (-102)
  • Spread: GSW: -1 (-110) | SAC: +1 (-110)
  • Total: 229.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Warriors enter this contest as slim road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 229.5 points with both sides available at -110 odds. 

Warriors vs Kings Betting Trends

  • Golden State is 11-4 straight up in its last 15 games against Sacramento.
  • Sacramento is 1-4 straight up in its last five games on a Sunday.
  • Golden State is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
  • Sacramento is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games against the Pacific Division.
  • The total has hit the under in four of Golden State's last six games on a Sunday.
  • The total has hit the under in seven of Sacramento's last 10 games.

Warriors vs Kings Prediction & Pick

The Kings sent the Warriors a clear message with their dominant Game 6 victory. Golden State was held to unimpressive .372/.313/.714 shooting splits in defeat and only scored 48 points in the second half. On top of that, Steve Kerr's team was beaten up in the paint, getting outrebounded 53-42 by Sacramento.

Now, the Kings have the home-court advantage as they return to a rowdy Sacramento crowd. The Warriors have been terrible on the road this year, going 12-32 straight up in away games with a minus-4.2 average scoring margin (eighth-worst in NBA). They've also lost three of their previous five trips to Golden 1 Center.

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This game could go either way, but I'm siding with the Kings. The Warriors are more than capable of beating any team, but their uninspiring road play combined with a poor showing in Game 6 has me doubting them. Meanwhile, momentum is on the Kings' side, fueled by a home crowd that's hungry for even more postseason success. As long as they stick to what worked last game, they should be fine.

It'll come down to the wire, but look for the Kings to light the beam.

Final Score Prediction: Kings: 121 | Warriors: 118

Warriors vs Kings Best Bet

For the best Game 7 bet, I'm siding with the total going over 229.5 points. The Warriors and Kings have the two most dangerous offenses in the NBA, averaging a combined 239.1 PPG this season. They've already gone over 229.5 points three times this series, so it isn't like hitting the Over is that much of an ask.

Furthermore, the Over is 30-13-1 in the Warriors' road games this season while being 27-15-2 in the Kings' home games. With both teams needing to step up if they want to reach the second round, don't be shocked if this turns into a shootout.

Bet: Over 229.5 Points (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.