Villanova vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 18 (Wildcats' Fouling Issues Gift Spartans a Win)

Villanova vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 18 (Wildcats' Fouling Issues Gift Spartans a Win)


Villanova vs Michigan State Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
Villanova Wildcats (2-1, 0-1 Away) vs. Michigan State Spartans (2-1, 1-0 Home)
Date: Friday, Nov. 18, 2022
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Breslin Center — East Lansing, MI
Coverage: FS1

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Thursday with an exciting matchup between the Villanova Wildcats and Michigan State Spartans. Villanova got back on track with a 60-50 win over the Delaware State Hornets on Monday. Eric Dixon led the way with 17 points and 7 rebounds.

Meanwhile, Michigan State took down the No. 4 ranked Kentucky Wildcats in a thriller on Tuesday. Joey Hauser had the hot touch in the 86-77 victory as he racked up 23 points on 8-of-16 shooting (4-of-7 from deep). Center Mady Sissoko chipped in with 16 points and 8 rebounds of his own.

Villanova vs Michigan State Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: NOVA: (+225) | MSU: (-280)
Spread: NOVA: +6.5 (-112) | MSU: -6.5 (-108)
Total: 130.5 —Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Michigan State enters this contest as notable home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 130.5 points, which is below average compared to Friday's projected totals.

Villanova vs Michigan State Prediction & Pick

This has not looked like the same Villanova team college basketball fans have gotten to know in the past. The Wildcats are failing to keep possessions alive with offensive rebounds and cannot find their rhythm from inside the arc. Their biggest problem may be the fact that they are fouling way too much.

Villanova is averaging 16.7 personal fouls per game, which is more than what it averaged in 2021-22 (14.9) and 2020-21 (15.5). On the other side, Michigan State is averaging a reliable 21.0 free throws attempted per game and sinking them at a 74.6% rate. This game will be won at the charity stripe.

Final Score Prediction: Villanova: 65 | Michigan State: 70

Villanova vs Michigan State Betting Trends

- Villanova is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
- The total has hit the under in eight of Villanova's last 11 games.
- Michigan State is 17-3 straight up in its last 20 home games.
- The total has hit the over in eight of Michigan state's last 11 games.

Villanova vs Michigan State Best Bet

Both of these teams have been praised for their defensive efforts early on this year. Let's not forget that each offense out on the court tonight is averaging at least 68.3 points per game, though. A lot of free throw attempts will mean a lot of opportunities to score with the clock stopped will be present.

The total has hit the over in eight of Villanova's last 11 away games as well as in eight of Michigan State's last 11 games overall. The Spartans have likely already earned a spot in the top 25 next week, but another big win would show they aren't messing around. They keep their foot on the gas here.

Bet: Over 130.5 Points (-114)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.