USC vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 9 Pac-12 Tournament (Trojans Win Rematch vs Sun Devils)

USC vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 9 Pac-12 Tournament (Trojans Win Rematch vs Sun Devils)


USC vs Arizona State Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Pac-12 Tournament Game
  • USC (22-9, 14-6 Pac-12) vs. Arizona State (21-11, 11-9 Pac-12)
  • Date: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Time: 11:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena -- Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Coverage: ESPN

The Pac-12 Tournament features another showdown between USC and Arizona State in the quarterfinal round on Thursday. These teams just faced each other in their regular-season finale on Saturday, with USC pulling out a 68-65 win.

Will Arizona State be able to get revenge with a win here? Or will the Trojans prevail again and move on to the semifinals?

USC vs Arizona State Odds & Spread

As expected, USC is the favorite on the spread and moneyline for this game on FanDuel Sportsbook. This Pac-12 clash also has an over/under of 138.5 points, which is about average relative to Thursday's totals.

USC vs Arizona State Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, USC is 17-14-0 this season.
  • The Trojans are 6-9 as 4.5-point favorites or more.
  • Out of 31 USC's games so far this year, 16 have gone over the total.
  • Arizona State has covered the spread 14 times in 32 games.
  • The Sun Devils' ATS record as 4.5-point underdogs or greater is 6-3.
  • Out of Arizona State's 32 games so far this season, 16 have hit the over.
USC Rank USC AVG Arizona State AVG Arizona State Rank
156th 72.8 Points Scored 70.5 202nd
88th 66.9 Points Allowed 67.3 99th
156th 32.1 Rebounds 33.3 91st
234th 7.9 Off. Rebounds 9.3 105th
285th 6.4 3pt Made 7.3 195th
138th 13.6 Assists 14.3 93rd
157th 11.7 Turnovers 11.6 148th

USC vs Arizona State Prediction & Pick

USC will look to pick up where it left off after taking down Arizona State for the second time this season last weekend. The Trojans also topped the Sun Devils back in January with a more convicing 77-69 win.

They've had plenty of time to rest up and prepare for their conference foes, but the familiarity goes both ways. Arizona State just survived a low-scoring affair with Oregon State, coming away with a 63-57 victory.

Unfortunately for the Sun Devils, the Trojans have the edge on both offense and defense. Both teams play tight D, but USC averaged 2.3 more points per game than Arizona State during the regular season.

Given the Sun Devils' struggles against the Trojans this year and USC's overall superiority, you have to give the advantage to the Trojans here, especially if Arizona State hasn't fully recovered from grinding out a win yesterday.

Final Score Prediction: USC: 72 | Arizona State: 65

USC vs Arizona State Best Bet

Given the quality of defenses on both sides, this game feels like it's headed toward the Under. Both teams ranked in the top 100 in terms of fewest points allowed this season, while both offenses are middle of the pack. They only combined for 133 points the last time they matched up and Arizona State's game yesterday finished with just 120 points.

With the Trojans potentially a bit rusty and the Sun Devils possibly tired, we could see some ugly offensive possessions from both sides. The Over may be favored, but bet the Under.

Bet: UNDER 138.5 Total Points (-105)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.