UConn vs Providence Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 22 (Huskies Squeeze by Friars in Close-Fought Affair)

UConn vs Providence Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 22 (Huskies Squeeze by Friars in Close-Fought Affair)


UConn vs Providence Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 18 UConn (20-7, 9-7 Big East) vs. No. 20 Providence (20-7, 12-4 Big East)
  • Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2023
  • Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Harry A. Gampel Pavilion -- Storrs, Connecticut
  • Coverage: Fox Sports 1

Wednesday, Feb. 22's NCAA college basketball schedule features a huge Big East battle between the No. 18 UConn Huskies and No. 20 Providence Friars.

UConn heads into tonight's action following a 64-55 win over Seton Hall — the Huskies' fifth victory in their last seven tries. Meanwhile, Providence earned its second straight win with an 85-72 effort over Villanova. Ed Croswell led the way with a game-high 21 points along with 10 rebounds for the double-double.

So, which of these Big East foes will emerge the victor tonight?

UConn vs Providence Odds & Spread

UConn enters this contest as the clear home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 6:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 142.5 points with both sides sitting at -110 odds.

UConn vs Providence Betting Trends

  • UConn's record against the spread is 16-11-0.
  • Against the spread as 7.5-point favorites or more, the Huskies are 10-6.
  • There have been 16 UConn's games (out of 27) that went over the total this year.
  • Providence has 18 wins in 27 games against the spread this season.
  • The Friars are yet to lose ATS (2-0) as a 7.5-point underdog or greater this year.
  • This season, 14 of Providence's 27 games have gone over the point total.
UConn Rank UConn AVG Providence AVG Providence Rank
45th 78.0 Points Scored 78.9 29th
36th 64.3 Points Allowed 69.6 170th
15th 36.2 Rebounds 36.4 12th
3rd 11.9 Off. Rebounds 10.4 33rd
39th 8.9 3pt Made 6.4 283rd
10th 17.0 Assists 14.8 68th
206th 12.2 Turnovers 11.5 127th

UConn vs Providence Prediction & Pick

When it comes to offense, these two Big East schools are evenly matched. UConn averages 78.0 PPG (T-No. 25) while Providence operates on a 78.9 PPG clip (No. 23). Having said that, the Huskies have the edge on defense. They only surrender 64.3 PPG (No. 31), whereas Providence allows an average of 69.6 points (No. 154).

Playing at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion has also been tough for visiting teams. Not only is UConn 13-2 at home this season, but opponents are only shooting 40.6% from the field and 26.0% from the three-point line in Storrs, CT. This impressive defense is a big reason why the Huskies have been able to outscore opponents by an average of 18.8 points on home court.

As great as Providence's offense can be, it doesn't translate well on the road, going from an 85.0 PPG at home to 72.3 PPG in road scenarios. UConn's defense will take advantage of that drop-off, resulting in a victory for the Huskies.

Final Score Prediction: UConn: 79 | Providence: 73

UConn vs Providence Best Bet

Although a UConn victory is my predicted outcome, I'm backing Providence on the spread as the best bet. The Huskies have been anything but consistent against the spread, going 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games. Furthermore, they're just 3-5 ATS at home against Big East competition.

Meanwhile, the Friars are not only 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games but also 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Big East matchups. They've also covered the spread in 70% of their road games this season.

As great as UConn can be, I expect that Providence will keep this game closer than the odds project.

Bet: Providence +6.5 (-102)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.