Texas vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 24 NCAA Tournament Game (Offenses Thrive in First Half)

Texas vs Xavier Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 24 NCAA Tournament Game (Offenses Thrive in First Half)


Texas vs Xavier Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Tournament Game
  • No. 5 Texas (28-8) vs. No. 13 Xavier (27-9)
  • Date: Friday, March 24, 2023
  • Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Center -- Kansas City, Missouri
  • Coverage: CBS

The 2022-23 NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 is here, featuring a thrilling Midwest Region matchup between the No. 2 Texas Longhorns and No. 3 Xavier Musketeers on Friday.

A dominant first-half performance paved the way for Texas' 71-66 win over No. 10 Penn State on Saturday. Meanwhile, Xavier advanced to the Sweet 16 with an 84-73 effort against No. 11 Pittsburgh.

Which side has what it takes to punch its ticket to the Elite 8?

Texas vs Xavier Odds & Spread

Texas enters this contest as a slight favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9:45 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 147.5 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

Texas vs Xavier Betting Trends

  • Texas is 19-17-0 against the spread this season.
  • Against the spread as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Longhorns are 13-13.
  • There have been 16 Texas' games (out of 36) that hit the over this year.
  • Against the spread, Xavier is 19-17-0 this year.
  • The Musketeers have an ATS record of 6-2 as 3.5-point underdogs or more.
  • This season, 22 of Xavier's 36 games have gone over the point total.
Texas Rank Texas AVG Xavier AVG Xavier Rank
40th 77.7 Points Scored 81.2 11th
89th 67.2 Points Allowed 73.8 286th
163rd 32 Rebounds 34.8 35th
163rd 8.7 Off. Rebounds 8.8 154th
210th 7.1 3pt Made 7.4 182nd
17th 16.1 Assists 19.3 1st
82nd 10.9 Turnovers 12.2 216th

Texas vs Xavier Prediction & Pick

Xavier's offense has been tremendous this season, but it won't score at will against Texas. On top of only allowing just 67.2 PPG (No. 78), the Longhorns have held their last six opponents to a 58.2 PPG clip. They completely shut down teams like TCU and Kansas over that stretch, proving that the Longhorns can handle ranked competition.

Xavier also lacks discipline which could get it into some trouble. The Musketeers averaged 17.3 personal fouls in their previous three contests and now must face the Longhorns, who shoot 13.9 free throws (No. 102) on a 75.2% success rate (No. 55). If this game comes down to the wire, free throw shooting could be the deciding factor.

In what should be a competitive battle between two strong teams, I see Texas advancing due to it owning the defensive edge.

Final Score Prediction: Texas: 77 | Xavier: 74

Texas vs Xavier Best Bet

With all of the offensive talent involved, I'm expecting some first-half fireworks. Xavier averages the sixth-most first-half points (39.5) in the country while Texas sits respectably at No. 40 (36.4). Furthermore, the two sides have averaged a combined 73.0 points before halftime in their last three games this season.

If the defenses take a back seat, look for Texas and Xavier to try to outgun the other early on, leading to the first-half total being surpassed.

Bet: First-Half Total — Over 69.5 Points (-112)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.