TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Horned Frogs Keep Undefeated Season Alive)

TCU vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Horned Frogs Keep Undefeated Season Alive)


TCU vs Baylor Week 12 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs (10-0, 7-0 Big 12) vs. Baylor Bears (6-4, 4-3 Big 12)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: McLane Stadium — Waco, TX
Coverage: FOX

Week 12 of the 2022 college football season includes a Big 12 showdown between the No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs and Baylor Bears. TCU locked up a spot in the Big 12 Championship last weekend with a 17-10 win over Texas. Running back Kendre Miller excelled with 148 total yards and 1 touchdown.

Meanwhile, Baylor failed to get anything going on offense its last time out in what ended up being a 31-3 loss to Kansas State. Quarterback Blake Shapen struggled as he completed 22 of his 38 pass attempts for only 203 yards and 2 interceptions. The Bears logged only 306 total yards on the day.

TCU vs Baylor Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: TCU: (-137) | BAY: (+114)
Spread: TCU: -2.5 (-110) | BAY: +2.5 (-110)
Total: 57.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

TCU enters this contest as a slight road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This Big 12 clash also features a total of 57.5 points, which is about average compared to this week's college football projected totals.

TCU vs Baylor Prediction & Pick

It's not often that a team currently projected to be in the College Football Playoff enters a game as only a field goal favorite against a team below .500 in conference play. The Horned Frogs have been underestimated all year long, though, and they've exceeded expectations every single week.

TCU continues to win because it plays clean football. The Horned Frogs average just 4.9 penalties per game (T-No. 20 in FBS) and have committed only 7 turnovers on the season, which is the tied for the fourth-lowest mark in the country. They simply don't allow opponents to get any kind of advantage.

TCU is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games against Baylor, so give me the Horned Frogs here.

Final Score Prediction: TCU: 34 | Baylor: 24

TCU vs Baylor Betting Trends

- TCU is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games against Baylor.
- The total has hit the over in six of TCU's last nine games.
- Baylor is 13-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last 19 games.
- The total has hit the over in five of Baylor's last six games against TCU.

TCU vs Baylor Best Bet

TCU is an impressive 8-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games overall. It is also a ridiculous 5-0 ATS in its last five away games against Baylor. The Horned Frogs scored an average of 44.2 points per game during that span and each of the four outright wins came by at least a touchdown.

The difference-maker in this game is going to be wide receiver Quentin Johnston. The talented junior has logged 716 yards and 5 touchdowns on 45 receptions so far this season (10 games). In 2021, he torched Baylor for 142 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 catches. Expect more of the same on Saturday.

Bet: TCU Horned Frogs -2.5 (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.