San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for April 1 NCAA Tournament Game (Aztecs Move On)

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for April 1 NCAA Tournament Game (Aztecs Move On)


San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Tournament Game
  • No. 18 San Diego State (31-6) vs. No. 25 Florida Atlantic (35-3)
  • Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
  • Venue: NRG Stadium -- Houston, Texas
  • Coverage: CBS

The 2023 NCAA Tournament's Final Four is officially set. The next round of March Madness features The San Diego State Aztecs going one-on-one with the Florida Atlantic Owls on Saturday, April 1.

In what was a tight matchup, San Diego State managed to make it out of the Elite 8 with a 57-56 victory over Creighton. Meanwhile, Florida Atlantic's shocking run continued with a 79-76 win against Kansas State, highlighted by Vladislav Goldin's 14-point, 13-rebound double-double.

Which side will go home while the other competes for a national title?

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Odds & Spread

San Diego State enters this contest as a slim favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 6;09 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 131.5 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Betting Trends

  • San Diego State is 20-16-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Aztecs have an ATS record of 17-14 as 1.5-point favorites or greater.
  • Out of 36 San Diego State's games so far this season, 14 have gone over the total.
  • Against the spread, Florida Atlantic is 25-11-0 this season.
  • As 1.5-point underdogs or greater, the Owls are 6-2 against the spread.
  • Florida Atlantic has seen 19 of its 36 games go over the point total.
San Diego State Rank San Diego State AVG Florida Atlantic AVG Florida Atlantic Rank
182nd 71.5 Points Scored 78.0 36th
24th 62.9 Points Allowed 65.1 42nd
79th 33.4 Rebounds 36.1 12th
95th 9.4 Off. Rebounds 9.6 83rd
230th 6.9 3pt Made 9.6 14th
163rd 13.2 Assists 14.6 70th
83rd 10.9 Turnovers 11.4 132nd

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction & Pick

All heartwarming stories must come to an end, and that'll be the case for FAU this weekend. San Diego State's defense can shut down most offenses, surrendering just 63.1 PPG (No. 23) on 40.5% shooting (No. 25).

A big reason why Florida Atlantic got by Creighton was by shooting 39.1% from the three-point line. Now, the Owls face the Aztecs, who've only given up an average of 3.7 three-pointers on 15.7% shooting over the last three games. They've also been averaging 42.0 rebounds and 11.0 takeaways over that stretch, indicating that FAU will be under pressure all night long.

Florida Atlantic has shocked a lot of people thus far and I won't be surprised if this is another close game. However, San Diego State's defense is as elite as it gets and won't break. Look for the Aztecs to keep winning and advance to the National Championship.

Final Score Prediction: San Diego State: 65 | Florida Atlantic: 63

San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Best Bet

San Diego State's stellar defense means that its games tend to feature fewer points than projected. The under has struck in each of the Aztecs' last 10 games as well as their nine previous outings as favorites. While not as frequent, Florida Atlantic has also experienced the under in five of its last seven games.

Considering how the under is a combined 13-5 in both teams' games at neutral sites this season, it's safe to say that a low-scoring affair is on the way.

Bet: Under 131.5 Points (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.