Ohio vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Watch the Weather)

Ohio vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 12 (Watch the Weather)


Ohio vs Ball State Week 12 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Ohio Bobcats (7-3, 5-1 MAC) vs Ball State Cardinals (5-5, 3-3 MAC)
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 15 2022
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Venue: Scheumann Stadium — Muncie, IN
Coverage: ESPN

Week 12 of the 2022 NCAA college football season kicks off with an inter-division MAC game between the West-leading Ohio Bobcats and the Ball State Cardinals, who lost in the final 90 seconds last week to East-leading Toledo, 28-21 as a double-digit underdog.

Ohio has won 5-straight games, and has a potential West division showdown next Tuesday at home vs. Bowling Green for the division title.

Ohio vs Ball State Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: OHIO: (-178) | BALL: (+146)
Spread: OHIO: -3.5 (-115) | BALL: +3.5 (-105)
Total: 54.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Ohio enters this contest as a small road favorite on the spread (-3.5) and nearly 2/1 on the moneyline (-178). The takeback for a Ball State win is +146. This 7 p.m. ET clash on ESPN also features a total of 54.5.

Ohio vs Ball State Prediction & Pick

Ball State RB Carson Steele leads the MAC in rushing yards (1,280, 128/game) and rushing TDs (12). Ohio RB Sieh Bangura has 8 TDs in 8 games and averages 80 rushing yards per game. Ohio QB Kurtis Rourke tops the MAC in many stats including yards (3,087), TD passes (24), and completion percentage (69%), and is the most efficient passer with a league-low 4 INTs as well. Rourke has made huge strides in production while averaging 308 passing YPG including 379 at 10.5 yards per pass and 8 TD passes in the last two games.

While Ohio is averaging 442 yards per game and 34 points per game on offense - 10 PPG more than Ball State - the Bobcats defense is among the worst in the MAC allowing 32 PPG and dead last allowing 465 yards per game and 6.5 yards per play. Ball State's pass defense is No. 2 in the MAC behind Toledo in yards allowed (217), yards per pass (6.3) and pass efficiency.

Both Ohio and Ball State defenses allow 23-24 first downs per game - worst in the MAC. The Cardinals offense struggled against Toledo's top-ranked defense last week with 280 yards offense. But against Northern Illinois at home this season, Ball State had 480 yards offense and 31 first downs.

Final Score Prediction: Ohio: 30 | Ball State: 27

Ohio vs Ball State Betting Trends

- Ohio is 5-0 straight up (SU) in their last 5 games.
- Ohio is 6-0 agaisnt the spread (ATS) in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone Over in 7 of Ohio's last 10 games.
- Ball State is 4-2 SU/ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has hit the Under in each of Ball State's last 5 games, and 11-of-13 home games.

Ohio vs Ball State Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Ohio opened -6 Sunday in Las Vegas, and the line is now Bobcat's -3.5. The Bobcats are on a 5-0 SU run with two high-scoring games the past two weeks. The total is up 4 points to 54.5, and the 'over looked like a good bet. But watch the weather. A 60% chance of a mixture of rain and snow is in the forecast Tuesday afternoon into evening with near freezing temps of 34 degrees.

The total may drop back down a bit, but there is still potential for scoring as even if Ohio has to run the ball more, they'll do so against Ball State's run defense allowing 184 rushing yards per game - worst in the MAC. Ball State has played 6 straight games under the total, but buck that trend.

Bet: Over 52.5 (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.