North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 22 (Expect Fireworks at Purcell Pavilion)

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 22 (Expect Fireworks at Purcell Pavilion)


North Carolina vs Notre Dame Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • North Carolina (16-11, 8-8 ACC) vs. Notre Dame (10-17, 2-14 ACC)
  • Date: Wednesday, February 22, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Purcell Pavilion -- South Bend, Indiana
  • Coverage: ESPN

Wednesday, Feb. 22's NCAA college basketball schedules includes an ACC clash between the North Carolina Tar Heels and Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

North Carolina hopes to turn things around following a 77-69 loss to NC State — the Tar Heels' fifth loss in their last six outings. Unfortunately, Notre Dame hasn't had much recent success lately. The Fighting Irish stumble into tonight's contest on a five-game losing streak, most recently falling 57-55 to ranked Virginia on Saturday.

So, which of these struggling ACC programs will finally taste victory this evening?

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Odds & Spread

North Carolina enters this contest as the clear road favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 148.5 points with both sides sitting at -110 odds.

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, North Carolina is 8-19-0 this year.
  • Against the spread as 6.5-point favorites or more, the Tar Heels are 7-8.
  • Out of 27 North Carolina's games so far this year, 12 have gone over the total.
  • Against the spread, Notre Dame is 8-19-0 this season.
  • The Fighting Irish's ATS record as 6.5-point underdogs or more is 3-1.
  • This season, 16 of Notre Dame's 27 games have hit the over.
North Carolina Rank North Carolina AVG Notre Dame AVG Notre Dame Rank
47th 77.9 Points Scored 70.1 218th
261st 72.6 Points Allowed 72 247th
9th 36.5 Rebounds 28.6 323rd
84th 9.7 Off. Rebounds 5.6 353rd
235th 6.9 3pt Made 9 32nd
272nd 12 Assists 12 272nd
52nd 10.7 Turnovers 8.2 2nd

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction & Pick

Playing at home usually provides a team with a sense of comfort, but that hasn't been the case for Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish have lost four of its last five home games ahead of this matchup, surrendering at least 81 points in each defeat. Now, they must face the Tar Heels, who average a 77.9 PPG clip (No. 30).

If North Carolina gets off to a big lead, don't expect Notre Dame to keep things close. The Fighting Irish have been held to fewer than 70 points in four of their last five games. They also only shot 39.2% from the floor against Virginia and a similar performance would likely spell disaster against a Tar Heels team averaging 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (No. 6).

With Notre Dame also dropping nine of its last 10 in-conference games, it's even more clear that this is UNC's contest to lose.

Final Score Prediction: North Carolina: 81 | Notre Dame: 70

North Carolina vs Notre Dame Best Bet

Recent matchups between North Carolina and Notre Dame tend to feature more points than projected. On top of the over being 4-1 in the last five matchups between these ACC rivals, the Tar Heels and Fighting Irish have averaged a combined 148 points over the stretch.

While that average is slightly lower than tonight's projected total, UNC and ND did surpass 148.5 points in each of their last two meetings at Purcell Pavilion. With the two sides desperate to taste success, I expect that they'll turn things up a notch tonight, resulting in the over being hit.

Bet: Over 148.5 Points (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.