Nick Chubb Fantasy Outlook & Injury Update 2022 (Can We Expect a Repeat Performance?)
Nick Chubb finished as the RB11 in fantasy football last season, his second straight season finishing as a top-12 back in PPR formats, all while missing three games. He's as steady as the come when it comes to fantasy production, although he'll be dealing with some new factors in 2022, notably a new signal-caller named Deshaun Watson under center.
Considering his steady production, it's no surprise to see Chubb in the conversation among the top fantasy football picks this offseason. His average draft position (ADP) has him going 17th off the board, and he's a consensus RB1 on any fantasy football roster.
Nick Chubb Fantasy Football Outlook
Chubb definitely fits the prototype of your traditional running back. He turned the league's eighth-highest carries into the second-most yards on the ground (1,259) and found the end zone eight times. That followed a 2020 campaign in which he ranked seventh in rushing yards and fourth in TDs.
There's a number of changes fantasy managers must consider when drafting Chubb. No, this isn't a question of whether he's a true RB1 or not. He is. It's more if you're comfortable drafting him in the top half of those 12 runnings backs, or closer to end of that range.
The Browns enter the season with a huge question mark at quarterback. Deshaun Watson was brought in, but he's still dealing with a number of off-field issues. Could Watson play a full season? Probably not. Will be he suspended for half the season? The whole season? When will that suspension be handed out? Nobody knows.
Watson on the field will affect Chubb's fantasy output. There's no denying that. The Browns were a team that ranked with the sixth-highest rush percentage in the league. The three-time Pro Bowl quarterback will cut into those carries.
Kareem Hunt is another question mark. He missed half of last year with various injuries, but is seemingly healthy. In his only full season of games while with the Browns, Hunt finished with more rush attempts (198) and total touches (236) than Chubb's 190 and 206, respectively. He's also a more dangerous weapon in the passing attack.
Nick Chubb Injury Update
Despite all the question marks, Chubb has the ability to put up monster numbers on the ground, especially if he stays healthy.
Chubb missed three games last year, two of which came after a left calf strain and one thanks to COVID. Those issues are fully behind him and fantasy managers can rest easy considering his 89.9 rushing yards per game ranked third in the NFL, and his 5.5 yards per attempt ranked second amongst running backs with 200+ carries.
Nick Chubb Projections
Projections from the NFL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook are also nice and high on Chubb. He's T-3rd to lead the NFL in rushing. He averaged 15.7 attempts per game, and playing a full season could result in 267 on the year. At last year's pace of 5.5 yards per carry, 267 attempts puts him about 1,468 yards on the year.
Is Nick Chubb a Good Fantasy Football Pick?
So with all said and done, is Chubb a good fantasy pick? Absolutely. He's the No. 12 running back in The Duel's PPR fantasy football rankings, and can easily climb the ladder with a full season of carries. Don't be afraid to take him at the end of the first round, or one of the first picks in the second round of your fantasy drafts.
Chubb presents ever better value in non-PPR formats. He finished as RB7 in standard scoring leagues a year ago, averaging 14.6 points per game.
Oh, and if you drafted Chubb with one of your first two picks then you might want to check out the best Cleveland Browns fantasy football team names for your squad too.
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Adam Taylor McKillop is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Adam Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username atmckillop. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.