Missouri vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for College Football Week 11 Game on FanDuel Sportsbook
Missouri vs Tennessee Week 11 Game Info
2022 NCAA College Football Game
Missouri Tigers (4-5, 2-4 SEC) vs. No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (8-1, 4-1 SEC)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 12, 2022
Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Neyland Stadium — Knoxville, TN
Week 11 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes an SEC showdown between the Missouri Tigers and No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers.
Tennessee suffered their first loss of the season last week at Georgia, 27-13. The Volunteers dropped from No. 1 to No. 5 in the latest College Football Playoff rankings. The wild week also saw Clemson suffer their first loss and Alabama lose a second time in a 32-31 OT loss at LSU.
Meanwhile, Missouri rallied for a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns last week to take a 17-14 lead over Kentucky, but couldn't keep the Wildcats out of the end zone late in a 21-17 defeat at home. Both teams had less than 260 yards offense in a defensive duel.
Missouri vs Tennessee Odds & Spread
All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: MIZ: (+890) | TENN: (-1700)
Spread: MIZ: +20.5 (-105) | TENN: -20.5 (-115)
Total: 56.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Tennessee enters this contest as a clear favorite on the moneyline (-1700) and the spread (-20.5). The line opened -21.5 Sunday in Las Vegas, and the total is 56.5 - right at an average over/under compared to this week's college football projected totals.
Missouri vs Tennessee Prediction & Pick
Tennessee's No. 1 offense was held to just 289 yards offense last week at Georgia. Vols QB Hendon Hooker could not get untracked against the Bulldogs dominant defense, and he lost his grip on the top spot in the Heisman Trophy chase. But Tennessee remains in the CFB Playoff chase, and they can stay right in the race with three more wins to finish the regular season starting with their final home game against Missouri followed by road contests at South Carolina and Vanderbilt. Tennessee still leads the SEC in total offense averaging 523 yards per game with a pass attack averaging 335 YPG.
Missouri had No. 1 Georgia on the ropes in early October before falling 26-22 at home as a 31-point underdog. But comparable game scores is rarely a foolproof indicator of future results when analyzing match-ups. Missouri ranks No. 13 in the SEC in total offense, and the Tigers pop gun pass attack is not likely to take full advantage of the Vols weakness in the secondary and pass defense deficiencies.
Last year the Tigers looked helpless against the Vols’ tempo which racked up 45 points in the first half and nearly 700 total yards in an eventual 62-24 evisceration.
Final Score Prediction: Tennessee: 41 | Missouri: 20
Missouri vs Tennessee Betting Trends
- Missouri is 2-4 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has hit the under in 8 straight Missouri games.
- Tennessee is 8-1 SU in their last 9 games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five.
- The total has hit the Over in 11 of Tennessee's last 15 games.
Missouri vs Tennessee Best Bet
The letdown potential is clear for Tennessee off their huge game and first loss at Georgia. Missouri has also played 5-of-6 SEC games within one score with the Tigers defense only allowing one SEC opponent to gain more than 300 yards offense. That was Georgia, who racked up nearly 500 yards.
After seeing Hendon Hooker struggle against a strong defense last week, it might be too much to ask for a 3 TD victory with Missouri's defensive front leading the SEC in tackles for loss and putting more pressure on Hooker. But the Vols did bury Kentucky and the Wildcats solid defense 44-6 to close October while forcing three interceptions against a better quarterback. Only Florida held Tennessee under 40 points at home this season in a 38-33 Vols victory and Tennessee still had nearly 600 yards offense.
Bet: Over 56.5 (-110)
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.