Mets vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for June 20 (Houston Bounces Back Behind Framber Valdez)

The Houston Astros (39-34) will look to snap a five-game losing streak when they host the New York Mets (34-38) in the second game of a three-game series at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday, June 20.

Mets vs Astros Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, June 20, 2023
• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Minute Maid Park -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: SportsNet New York, AT&T Sports Net Southwest

The Mets proved on Monday that their bats made the trip to Houston as they racked up 11 runs on 14 hits. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer had one of his best outings of the year as well, allowing only 1 earned run and tallying 8 strikeouts in 8.0 innings. It was an unexpected start to an enticing series.

Mets vs Astros Odds & Spread

• All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYM: (+128) | HOU: (-152)
• Spread: NYM: +1.5 (-162) | HOU: -1.5 (+134)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

The Astros enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8:10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 7.5 runs with the under slightly favored at -118 odds.

Mets vs Astros Betting Trends

• The Mets are 2-7 straight up in their last nine away games.
• The total has hit the over in five of the Mets' last seven games against the AL West.
• Houston is 8-1 straight up in its last eight home games against the Mets.
• The total has hit the over in six of Houston's last nine games against the Mets.

Mets vs Astros Prediction & Pick

Baseball fans are in for a treat on Tuesday night as Justin Verlander and Framber Valdez take the mound. Verlander is back in Houston for the first time since he left the Astros in free agency and has allowed less than 2 earned runs in two of his last three starts. The veteran is starting to find a groove.

Meanwhile, Valdez ranks second in all of baseball with an impressive 2.27 ERA and ranks sixth with a 1.03 WHIP. Keep in mind Mets players on the current roster have tallied a total of 45 at-bats against Valdez and have only hit a single home run. The 29-year-old has fooled New York in past showings.

I like that trend to continue as Valdez has allowed less than 3 earned runs in six of his last eight starts. The Astros record during that span is 6-2. He is considered their ace for a reason and will prove it at Minute Maid Park. The Mets had lost eight straight games in Houston prior to Monday's win, anyways.

Final Score Prediction: Mets: 3 | Astros: 5

Mets vs Astros Best Bet

To make Valdez's recent dominance even more stunning, it's worth noting that the opposing team has finished the game with less than 4 runs in nine of his 14 starts on the season. That also speaks to the dominance of Houston bullpen, which ranks fourth in all of baseball with a 3.46 ERA. The Astros have posted a 3.49 ERA at home overall and have the pitching depth to frustrate the Mets on Tuesday.

Bet: New York Mets Under 3.5 Runs (-128)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.