Lakers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 5 (Can LA Eliminate Defending Champs?)

Lakers vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 5 (Can LA Eliminate Defending Champs?)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Wednesday, May 10 with Game 5 of the second-round series between the Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers.

Lakers vs Warriors Game 5 Info

  • Series: LAL leads 3-1
  • Date: Wednesday, May 10, 2023
  • Time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
  • Coverage: TNT

The Lakers have a chance to advance to the Western Conference Finals after picking up a 104-101 win over the Warriors in Game 4. LeBron James and Anthony Davis combined for 50 points and 24 rebounds, but it was Lonnie Walker IV who stole the show, scoring all 15 of his points off of the bench in the fourth quarter.

Lakers vs Warriors Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: LAL: (+240) | GSW: (-295)
  • Spread: LAL: +6.5 (-106) | GSW: -6.5 (-114)
  • Total: 226 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Warriors enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 226 points with both sides being available at -110 odds.

Lakers vs Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Lakers are 11-3 straight up (SU) in their last 14 games played in May.
  • Golden State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 home games.
  • The Lakers are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
  • Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games against the Lakers.
  • The total has hit the Under in six of the Lakers' last nine games.
  • The total has hit the Under in four of Golden State's last six games.

Warriors vs Lakers Prediction & Pick

Even though returning to Chase Center should give the Warriors a much-needed boost, don't count on it. They've now lost six of their last seven matchups against the Lakers, which includes two of the last three played in the Bay Area. It doesn't help that Golden State is also averaging just 99 points in the last two games.

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The Lakers are also getting something that the Warriors aren't: production from their depth. When James and Davis aren't playing well, names like Walker, Rui Hachimura, D'Angelo Russell, and Austin Revaes are capable of taking over.

Meanwhile, Golden State is getting little offense outside of Steph Curry. Klay Thompson has been held to 24 total points over the last two games. Jordan Poole is operating on putrid .353/.316/.667 shootings splits this series. Although he's not known for his offense, Draymond Green's minus-30 plus/minus rating isn't helping either.

It's clear that the Warriors aren't the dominant force they once were despite being the defending NBA Champions. The Lakers have their opponents exactly where they want them and I fully expect Darvin Ham's squad to close things out on Wednesday.

Final Score Prediction: Lakers: 115 | Warriors: 113

Lakers vs Warriors Best Bet

After winning back-to-back games and owning the 3-1 series lead, I'm going with the Lakers as +6.5 underdogs for the best bet. They've done well covering the spread, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Pacific Division games, as well as 6-1 ATS in their previous seven meetings with the Warriors.

Golden State, on the other hand, is 2-4 ATS in its past six outings and has failed to cover six times in its previous seven games played on a Wednesday. Even if the Warriors manage to squeak out a win, I don't see them beating the Lakers by seven-plus points.

Bet: Lakers +6.5 (-106)

Watch FanDuel TV’s new NBA show “Run It Back” with Shams Charania, Michelle Beadle, Chandler Parsons, and Eddie Gonzalez Monday-Wednesday at 10 ET on FanDuel TV, the FanDuel Youtube page, or download the podcast here:

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.