Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 5 (Golden State's Road Woes Continue)

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 5 (Golden State's Road Woes Continue)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Wednesday with Game 5 of the first round series between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings.

Kings vs. Warriors Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
  • Time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center -- Sacramento, California
  • Coverage: TNT, NBCS-CA, and NBCS-BA

After dropping the first two games in Sacramento, the Golden State Warriors bounced back on their home court to win Games 3 and 4 and even the first round series. Now this matchup returns to Sacramento for a pivotal Game 5, where one team will be able to re-take control with a win.

Will the home team win again for the fifth straight time in this series? Or will the road team finally prevail?

Kings vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Kings vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Kings -1.5 -108 -112 237.5 -110 -110 -118 -100

The Kings enter this Western Conference matchup as slight home favorites on the spread and moneyline at FanDuel Sportsbook. The game also features a high projected total of 237.5 points.

Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Kings have covered the spread 45 times in 80 games with a set spread.
  • The Warriors are 9-11 ATS when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
  • This season, Kings games have hit the over 39 times.
  • Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 44 of 80 opportunities (55%).
  • Against the spread, Sacramento has performed worse at home, covering 18 times in 40 home games, and 27 times in 40 road games.
  • In 2022-23 against the spread, Golden State has a better winning percentage at home (.650, 26-13-1 record) than away (.300, 12-28-0).

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

This best-of-seven series has become a best-of-three series after both teams split the first four games. The Warriors narrowly avoided going down 3-1 with a one-point win in Game 4, but they're not out of the woods yet.

Now they must return to Sacramento, where they lost Games 1 and 2 by a combined 11 points. Golden State has had major issues on the road this year, going 11-32 away from the Chase Center.

The Kings, on the other hand, are 25-18 at home and have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors in this series. With three games being decided by 8 points or less so far, home-court advantage could be the difference in what should be a closely contested Game 5.

Final Score Prediction: Kings: 121 | Warriors: 116

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Kings vs. Warriors Best Bet

With the Kings favored by just 1.5 points at home and the spread offering better value than the moneyline, we're taking Sacramento to win by at least a basket. This Warriors team simply can't be trusted on the road, so we're fading them even after back-to-back wins. Sacramento's been the better team this year and will prove that again back in the Golden 1 Center on Wednesday.

Bet: Sacramento Kings Moneyline (+102)

Watch FanDuel TV’s new NBA show “Run It Back” with Shams Charania, Michelle Beadle, Chandler Parsons, and Eddie Gonzalez Monday-Wednesday at 10 ET on FanDuel TV, the FanDuel Youtube page, or download the podcast here:

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.