Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (Don't Expect Fireworks in Bay Area Battle)

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (Don't Expect Fireworks in Bay Area Battle)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Sunday with Game 4 of the first-round series between the Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors.

Kings vs. Warriors Game 4 Info

  • Series: SAC leads 2-1
  • Date: Sunday, April 23, 2023
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, CA
  • Coverage: ABC

After going winless in Sacramento, the Warriors notched their first win of the series with a 114-97 victory over the Kings on Thursday. Unsurprisingly, Stephen Curry was Golden State's driving force, leading his teammates with 36 points while shooting 6-of-12 from three-point range.

Can Golden State send the crowd home happy by evening the series? Or will the Kings return home with a 3-1 lead?

Kings vs. Warriors Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: SAC: (+270) | GSW: (-335)
  • Spread: SAC: +7.5 (-110) | GSW: -7.5 (-110)
  • Total: 238 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Warriors enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 238 points with both sides being available at -110 odds. 

Kings vs. Warriors Betting Trends

  • Sacramento is 17-10 straight up in its last 27 road games against the Western Conference.
  • Golden State is 6-3 straight up in its last nine games as the favorite.
  • Sacramento is 6-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games.
  • Golden State is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games against the Pacific Division.
  • The total has hit the under in six of Sacramento's last seven games.
  • The total has hit the under in six of Golden State's last 10 games against Sacramento.

Kings vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick

After the Kings looked in control following the first two games, the Warriors put them in their place on Thursday. Sacramento didn't even lead for one second in Game 3 as its high-flying offense was grounded, managing just 97 points on .380/.234/.696 shooting splits. What's even more impressive is that Golden State accomplished that while key defender Draymond Green was suspended.

The Kings haven't defeated the Warriors on the road since February 2020, losing their last seven trips to the Bay by an average of 12.4 points. It won't be easy ending that streak on Sunday. Golden State boasts a 34-8 record at Chase Center, where it owns a plus-8.2 average scoring margin (No. 4 in NBA).

In the end, the Warriors' playoff experience will help them erase the series deficit. Green's return will give them a boost as well, ensuring that the Kings' struggles at Chase Center continue.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors: 118 | Kings: 110

Kings vs. Warriors Best Bet

Although these teams have no shortage of offensive talent, I'm siding with the under on the 238-point total as the best bet. First of all, the under is 24-17-1 in the Warriors' home games this season, as well as 27-15 in the Kings' road contests.

Furthermore, Sacramento and Golden State have finished with fewer than 238 points in all but one of their eight previous meetings. With an average total of 227 points over that stretch, it's clear that backing the under is the right call here.

Bet: Under 238 Total Points (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.