Indiana vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 5 (Hoosiers Hold Wolverines in Check at Assembly Hall)

Indiana vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 5 (Hoosiers Hold Wolverines in Check at Assembly Hall)


Indiana vs Michigan Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 15 Indiana (20-10, 11-8 Big Ten) vs. Michigan (17-13, 11-8 Big Ten)
  • Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Assembly Hall -- Bloomington, Indiana
  • Coverage: CBS

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Sunday with an exciting matchup between the Michigan Wolverines and No. 15 Indiana Hoosiers. Michigan fell short its last time out in a 91-87 double overtime loss to Illinois. Hunter Dickinson paced the offense with 31 points and 16 rebounds.

Meanwhile, Indiana couldn't keep up in a 90-68 loss to Iowa in its most recent game on Tuesday. Trayce Jackson-Davis shined with 26 points and 13 rebounds, but the Hoosier shot only 18.2% from three-point range (2-of-11) in the loss.

Which Big Ten team will end the regular season with a win? Let's explore.

Indiana vs Michigan Odds & Spread

Indiana enters this contest as a small home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 4:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 144.5 points, which is above average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Indiana vs Michigan Betting Trends

  • Indiana has beaten the spread 15 times in 30 games.
  • The Hoosiers have an ATS record of 10-7 as 3.5-point favorites or more.
  • This year, 17 of Indiana's 30 games have hit the over.
  • Michigan is 16-14-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Wolverines' ATS record as 3.5-point underdogs or more is 6-4.
  • Michigan has seen 17 of its 30 games go over the point total.
Indiana Rank Indiana AVG Michigan AVG Michigan Rank
100th 75.3 Points Scored 73.9 126th
126th 68.3 Points Allowed 69.5 161st
102nd 33.1 Rebounds 34 59th
240th 7.8 Off. Rebounds 7.7 254th
320th 5.9 3pt Made 7.7 141st
36th 15.4 Assists 12.1 262nd
151st 11.6 Turnovers 9.8 19th

Indiana vs Michigan Prediction & Pick

Everything is on the line for Michigan. The Wolverines sit on the outside looking in when it comes to the NCAA Tournament and beating a ranked team on the road would go a long way in changing that. It's worth pointing out that Michigan has defeated Indiana in nine of the last 11 head-to-head matchups.

Indiana isn't going to just roll over, though, and is in need of a change in momentum ahead of the Big Ten Tournament. The Hoosiers are averaging a reliable 80.4 points on a 51.8% shooting percentage in home games this season. The Wolverines do not have the depth to keep up in a likely shootout.

Indiana has won 14 of its last 16 games at Assembly Hall, so back the Hoosiers in a close one.

Final Score Prediction: Indiana: 71 | Michigan: 67

Indiana vs Michigan Best Bet

Illinois had no answer for Dickinson on Thursday, but Indiana has Jackson-Davis ready to patrol the paint on defense. He held Dickinson to 16 points on only 10 shot attempts in the Hoosiers' 62-61 road win over the Wolverines on Feb. 11. Jackson-Davis tallied 28 points and 11 rebounds as well.

Michigan has been held to under 71 points in eight of its last 13 games. Keep in mind that two of the five games in which it wasn't were overtime battles, too. Indiana has held its opponent under 71 points in 10 of its last 14 games and I expect the Hoosiers to step up on defense in front of a rowdy crowd.

Bet: Michigan Wolverines Under 70.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.