Indiana State vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Super Regionals Game 1 (Horned Frogs' Bats Come Alive at Home)

Indiana State vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Super Regionals Game 1 (Horned Frogs' Bats Come Alive at Home)

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The 2023 NCAA Baseball Tournament continues on Friday, featuring Game 1 of the Fort Worth Super Regional between the Indiana State Sycamores and TCU Horned Frogs.

Indiana State vs TCU Game Info

  • Date: Friday, June 9, 2023
  • Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Charlie and Marie Lupton Baseball Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
  • Coverage: ESPNU

Although the team faced some scares, Indiana State ran through the Terre Haute Regional with three consecutive victories. TCU was also perfect in the Fayetteville Regionals, winning three straight to improve to 9-0 in its last nine matchups.

Indiana State vs TCU Odds & Spread

TCU enters this contest as the favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 5 p.m. ET clash also features a projected total of 11.5 runs with the Over being favored at -118 odds. 

Indiana State vs TCU Betting Trends

  • Indiana State is 11-1 straight up (SU) in its last 12 games
  • TCU is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games.
  • Indiana State is scoring an average of 8.6 runs in its last nine games.
  • TCU is scoring an average of 13.1 runs in its last seven games.
  • This is the first-ever head-to-head matchup between Indiana State and TCU.

Indiana State vs TCU Prediction & Pick

Although Indiana State is the higher seed, its home-field advantage was thrown out the window due to the Special Olympics Indiana Summer Games taking over Terre Haute. Instead, TCU has the privilege of playing this series at Charlie and Marie Lupton Baseball Stadium, where it has won six consecutive home games.

The Sycamores have been solid on the road (21-7 SU), but it's worth noting that they only have a 63.6% winning percentage against non-MVC schools this season. For reference, the Horned Frogs have a 71.1% success rate against teams outside of the Big 12 in 2023.

I also can't bring myself to doubt TCU when it scored an average of 14.7 runs in the group stage, never finishing with fewer than 12. As talented as Indiana State is, it's only tallied 12-plus runs once in its last 13 games.

Back TCU to stand tall at home once the dust clears.

Final Score Prediction: TCU: 8 | Indiana State: 5

Indiana State vs TCU Best Bet

Betting options are limited in the college baseball landscape, I'm taking the total going over 11.5 runs as the best bet. It's a number that TCU has seen surpassed many times, having witnessed the total going over 11.5 runs in six of its past seven games.

While Indiana State has only experienced the Over once in its last seven contests, it's worth pointing out that each of its three Regionals games reached at least 11 runs. In other words, there's more than enough offense present to finish with over 11.5 runs Friday.

Bet: Over 11.5 Total Runs (-118)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.