Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 13 (Denver Aims For Sixth Straight Win Over Miami)

Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 13 (Denver Aims For Sixth Straight Win Over Miami)


Heat vs. Nuggets Game Info

  • Date: Monday, February 13, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FTX Arena -- Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: NBA TV, BSSUN, and ALT

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Monday with 11 more games, including a battle between the Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat. The Nuggets rank first in the Western Conference with a stellar 39-18 record, while the Heat check in sixth in the Eastern Conference with a respectable 32-25 record.

Denver enters as a victor in five of its last seven games following a 119-105 win over the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. Meanwhile, Miami improved its winning streak to three game with a 107-103 overtime victory against the Orlando Magic on Saturday. Which title contender will win on Monday?

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MIA: (-116) | DEN: (-102)
  • Spread: MIA: -1 (-110) | DEN: +1 (-110)
  • Total: 220 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as slight home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 220 points, which ranks as the lowest of Monday's projected totals.

Heat vs Nuggets Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Heat -1.5 - - 223.5 -110 -110 -126 108

Heat vs. Nuggets Betting Trends

  • The Heat have covered the spread 23 times over 57 games with a set spread.
  • The Nuggets have an ATS record of 6-4 in their 10 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this season.
  • Games involving the Heat have hit the over 24 times out of 56 chances this season.
  • Nuggets games this season have hit the over 48.2% of the time (27 out of 56 games with a set point total).
  • Miami has a worse record against the spread when playing at home (9-18-1) than it does in away games (14-15-0).
  • Denver's winning percentage against the spread at home is .633 (19-10-1). Away, it is .462 (12-14-0).

Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction & Pick

Nikola Jokic showed on Saturday why is a frontrunner to be named MVP. The Nuggets center posted his 20th triple-double of the season with 30 points, 16 rebound and 10 assists. He guided Denver without Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, who both remain questionable on Monday with injuries.

One of Denver's lone struggles this season has been keeping teams from scoring around the rim, but Miami only ranks 22nd in the league in points in the paint per game (46.9). With that taken out of the equation, the Nuggets can build a quick lead given their league-leading 51.0% shooting percentage.

Miami has lost five straight games against Denver, so fade the Heat at FTX Arena on Monday night.

Final Score Prediction: Heat: 108 | Nuggets: 112

Heat vs. Nuggets Best Bet

This is a head-to-head series that Denver has simply dominated as of late. Not only are the Nuggets 5-0 straight up in their last five games against the Heat, but they are also 5-0 against the spread (ATS) during that span. The average margin of victory in those showdowns sits at a whopping 15.0 points.

Denver enters this game hot, going 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall and 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on February. On the other side, Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall and 2-5 ATS in its last seven games in February. The depth of Denver's roster will shine in a road victory on Monday.

Bet: Denver Nuggets ML (-102)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.