Heat vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 4 (Miami Struggles to Contain Surging Atlanta Offense)

Heat vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 4  (Miami Struggles to Contain Surging Atlanta Offense)


Heat vs. Hawks Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: FTX Arena -- Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: BSSUN and BSSE

Saturday, March 4's NBA schedule features a battle between the Miami Heat (33-31) and Atlanta Hawks (32-31) at 8 p.m. ET.

The Heat were in action less than 24 hours ago, picking up a 122-120 loss to the New York Knicks — the sixth defeat in their last seven games. Meanwhile, the Hawks tallied a 129-111 win over the Portland Trail Blazers last night with help from Dejounte Murray's massive 41-point performance.

Can the Heat put their losing ways behind them? Or will the Hawks nab the crucial road win?

Heat vs. Hawks Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: ATL: (+100) | MIA: (-118)
  • Spread: ATL: +1.5 (-112) | MIA: -1.5 (-108)
  • Total: 225 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as slim home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 225 points with -110 odds on both sides.

Heat vs Hawks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Heat -1.5 - - 225 -110 -110 -122 104

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

  • The Heat covered 45 times in 82 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Hawks' ATS record as underdogs of 1.5 points or greater was 10-18 last year.
  • Last season, 46 Heat games hit the over.
  • The Hawks had 43 of their 82 games go over the point total last season.

Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Pick

The Heat have been playing an uninspiring brand of basketball lately. Their offense has all but dried up during their latest rut, averaging just 104.6 points over the last seven games. They've also lost three straight contests at home by an average margin of 9.7 points.

Meanwhile, the Hawks have all of the momentum on their side after last night's win. Their offense has generated at least 125 points in five of the last seven games and isn't showing signs of slowing down. Furthermore, they're shooting 51.1% from the field and 45.1% from three-point range over their last three games.

The Heat's lineup will also be at less than 100%. Both Kyle Lowry (knee) and Nikola Jovic (back) have been ruled out for tonight while Jimmy Butler's status is up in the air due to knee soreness, putting Miami in a vulnerable position.

Final Score Prediction: Hawks: 117 | Heat: 110

Heat vs. Hawks Best Bet

In the event of a Hawks upset, I'm backing the road team to cover the spread. On top of having the healthier roster and momentum, the Hawks are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games played in March and already beat Miami in their last meeting.

On the other side, the Heat are an abysmal 1-6 ATS in their last seven games. They're also 0-6 ATS in their last six home games and reversing that trend will only be harder with their injury issues.

As long as they stick to their game plan, the Hawks will cover tonight.

Bet: Hawks +1.5 (-112)

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