Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 6 (Boston Wins Again to Force Game 7)

Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 6 (Boston Wins Again to Force Game 7)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Saturday, May 27 with Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics.

Heat vs. Celtics Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: FTX Arena -- Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: TNT

The series returns to Miami for Game 6 after the Celtics earned a 110-97 victory at home in Game 5. Boston will try to win its third game in a row and force a winner-take-all Game 7, while the Heat will try to prevent that from happening and close out the series once and for all.

Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Celtics vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Celtics -3 -108 -112 210.5 -110 -110 -152 +128

The Celtics enter Game 6 as slight road favorites on both the spread and moneyline at FanDuel Sportsbook. This game also features an over/under of 211 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Trends

  • The Celtics have registered a 39-35-4 record against the spread this season.
  • So far this year, the Heat have been installed as underdogs by a 3-point margin or more 15 times and are 6-9 ATS in those matchups.
  • This season, 40 of the Celtics' games have gone over the point total out of 79 chances.
  • Heat games this season have gone over the total in 39 of 79 opportunities (49.4%).
  • Boston has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 21 times in 39 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 18 times in 39 opportunities in away games.
  • This season, Miami is 15-24-1 at home against the spread (.375 winning percentage). Away, it is 15-24-0 ATS (.385).

Heat vs. Celtics Prediction & Pick

After taking a commanding 3-0 lead in this series, the Heat are now the ones with the pressure on them heading into Game 6. Not only are they coming off back-to-back blowout losses, but they also desperately want to avoid returning to Boston for Game 7.

The Celtics have been flat-out dominant over the last six quarters, outscoring Miami by 36 points during that stretch. Momentum is suddenly on their side now that they have their confidence and swagger back.

More importantly, Boston is finally playing good defense again. The Celtics gave up the fifth-fewest points during the regular season but their defense has been incredibly shaky throughout much of the postseason. They've now allowed fewer than 100 points in back-to-back games, however, in part because Mami's unsustainably hot shooting has cooled off.

The Heat are going to need a huge bounce-back performance from Jimmy Butler if they want to win Game 6. He was held to a playoff-low 14 points in Game 5 and only attempted 10 field goals (also a postseason low), so he'll need to be more aggressive and put Miami on his back once again for the Heat to advance.

Boston's been the better team all along -- it just took a few games for them to start showing it. Look for the Celtics to outlast Miami in a hard-fought matchup and force Game 7.

Final Score Prediction: Celtics: 107 | Heat: 103

Check out more NBA Playoffs content from The Duel:

Heat vs. Celtics Best Bet

As good as he's been throughout the playoffs, Butler's been a non-factor from downtown over the last two rounds. Since the start of the New York Knicks series, he's made just 4 of 21 three-point attempts (19.0%). He's failed to make a three in seven of his last 10 games and is just 1-for-8 over his last four games combined. At plus odds, the Under on his three-point prop is a great bet.

Bet: Jimmy Butler Under 0.5 Made Threes (+140)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.