Heat vs. Knicks Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 1 (Miami Keeps Rolling at MSG)

Heat vs. Knicks Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 1 (Miami Keeps Rolling at MSG)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Sunday with Game 1 of the second-round series between the Miami Heat and the New York Knicks, both of whom dispatched their first-round opponents in five games.

Which team will kick off the series with a win and move one step closer to reaching the Eastern Conference Finals?

Heat vs. Knicks Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden -- New York, New York
  • Coverage: ABC

The Heat will look to pick up where they left off after shocking the Milwaukee Bucks in the first round, while the Knicks are buzzing after winning their first playoff series since 2013. Which team will be able to maintain its momentum in Game 1 at Madison Square Garden?

Heat vs. Knicks Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MIA: (+156) | NYK: (-186)
  • Spread: MIA: +4 (-106) | NYK: -4 (-114)
  • Total: 206.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Knicks enter Game 1 as modest home favorites on the spread and moneyline at FanDuel Sportsbook. This Sunday afternoon clash also features a total of 205.5 points, which is on the lower side for an NBA game.

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

  • Both teams are 7-3 straight up over their last 10 games.
  • The Knicks are 25-18 straight up at home this year.
  • The Heat are 19-25 straight up on the road this year.
  • Miami is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at New York.

Heat vs. Knicks Prediction & Pick

The Heat have played with a vengeance since losing the first play-in game to the Atlanta Hawks, going 5-1 straight up and against the spread since then. Their five-game defeat of the Bucks in the first round was extremely impressive and proves they're capable of beating anyone.

The Knicks, on the other hand, survived a hard-fought, low-scoring series with the Cavaliers. Their defense was exceptional, allowing fewer than 100 points in all four of their victories.

Miami's defense is more than capable of matching New York's, however, after yielding the second-fewest points during the regular season and fending off Giannis and co. The Heat also have the best player in this series in Jimmy Butler, who just torched the Bucks for 37.6 PPG on 59.7% shooting.

After winning two out of three road games against Milwaukee, Miami won't be afraid to come in and quiet the MSG crowd.

Final Score Prediction: Heat: 107 | Knicks: 99

Check out more NBA Playoffs content from The Duel:

Heat vs. Knicks Best Bet

Given the defensive excellence of both teams, the Under looks like the way to go here. Both clubs also ranked bottom-6 in terms of pace, so this should be a sluggish game with not much scoring. Game 1s also tend to feature fewer points as both teams feel each other out.

All five games during New York's series went under Sunday's projected total of 206.5. The Under is also 20-6 in the last 26 meetings between the Heat and Knicks in New York, so take the Under here.

Bet: Under 206.5 Total Points (-110)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.