Duke vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 28 (Expect Fireworks in ACC Showdown)

Duke vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 28 (Expect Fireworks in ACC Showdown)


Duke vs NC State Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • Duke (21-8, 12-6 ACC) vs. NC State (22-8, 12-7 ACC)
  • Date: Tuesday, February 28, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Cameron Indoor Stadium -- Durham, North Carolina
  • Coverage: ESPN

Tuesday, Feb. 28's NCAA college basketball schedule includes some ACC action as the Duke Blue Devils looks to take down the NC State Wolfpack.

Duke is fresh off an 81-65 victory over Virginia Tech, extending the Blue Devils' winning streak to four games in the process. On the other side, NC State hopes to turn things around after suffering a 96-71 blowout loss to Clemson on Saturday.

Will Duke grow its win total again tonight? Or will NC State forget about its latest loss with a statement win on the road?

Duke vs NC State Odds & Spread

Duke enters this contest as the clear home favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 145.5 points with both sides sitting at -110 odds.

Duke vs NC State Betting Trends

  • Duke's record against the spread is 11-18-0.
  • The Blue Devils' ATS record as 4.5-point favorites or more is 8-12.
  • Duke has played 29 games this year, and 12 of them have gone over the total.
  • NC State's record against the spread is 15-15-0.
  • The Wolf Pack have an ATS record of 3-3 as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
  • This year, 16 of NC State's 30 games have gone over the point total.
Duke Rank Duke AVG NC State AVG NC State Rank
169th 72.2 Points Scored 78.7 31st
32nd 63.9 Points Allowed 70.3 194th
14th 36 Rebounds 34.4 45th
14th 11.3 Off. Rebounds 10.1 48th
224th 7 3pt Made 8.5 63rd
53rd 15 Assists 13.2 167th
179th 11.9 Turnovers 9.2 7th

Duke vs NC State Prediction & Pick

NC State didn't look good on either side of the ball against Clemson. Allowing 96 points is bad enough, but the Wolfpack didn't help themselves by only shooting 41.7% from the floor and 33.3% from the three-point line while also being outrebounded 36-30.

NC State will have a tough time with a Duke defense that only surrenders 60.4 PPG at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Blue Devils are outscoring opponents by an average of 16.7 points at home this season, playing a big role behind their 15-0 record in Durham, NC. For comparison, the Wolfpack are only plus-1.9 on the road.

If NC State decides to have a poor shooting performance again, Duke will be ready. The Blue Devils average 24.8 defensive rebounds (T-No. 52), whereas the Wolfpack have averaged 8.7 offensive boards over their last three games — below their season average of 10.2 (No. 43).

Considering that Duke has also won 20 of its last 21 home games against NC State, it's safe to say that this is the Blue Devils' game to lose.

Final Score Prediction: Duke: 81 | NC State: 75

Duke vs NC State Best Bet

High-scoring affairs seem to be the norm whenever Duke and NC State to get together. After all, the ACC rivals have hit the over in nine of their last 11 meetings. Furthermore, the over has been hit in each of their last eight collisions at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

With Duke and NC State averaging 164.1 points in their last eight games in Chapel Hill, NC, I fully expect some fireworks tonight.

Bet: Over 145.5 Points (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.