Dan Argueta vs Ronnie Lawrence Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 75 (Lawrence Bounces Back in Las Vegas)

Argueta vs Lawrence Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 75 — Preliminary Card Bantamweight Bout
Dan Argueta (9-1-0, 2 KOs) vs. Ronnie Lawrence (8-2-0, 4 KOs)
Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023
Fight Time: This fight will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 7 p.m. ET.
Venue: UFC APEX — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN, ESPN2

Argueta vs Lawrence Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC Vegas 75 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Dan Argueta: (+160)
- Ronnie Lawrence: (-190)

Method of Victory:
- Argueta by KO/TKO: (+1000)
- Argueta by Points: (+310)
- Argueta by Submission: (+1300)
- Lawrence by KO/TKO: (+550)
- Lawrence by Points: (+110)
- Lawrence by Submission: (+600)

Argueta vs Lawrence Prediction

Dan Argueta failed his first UFC test when he fell to Damon Jackson via unanimous decision back in June, but rebounded with a unanimous decision victory of his own over Nick Aguirre in January. The 29-year-old should want to take this fight to the ground given he faces a 2-inch reach disadvantage.

The only problem is that on the ground is where Ronnie Lawrence thrives. Lawrence averages an insane 7.03 takedowns landed per 15 minutes at a 77% accuracy rate, which greatly outshines Argueta. Argueta only averages 2.50 takedowns landed per 15 minutes at a 55% accuracy rate.

Lawrence enters Saturday having won three of his four career UFC bouts, but most recently lost to Saidyokub Kakhramonov via unanimous decision in July. A bounce-back performance seems likely as he can win the fight on the ground or exploit Arugeta's weak strike defense in an upright battle.

Winner: Ronnie Lawrence

Argueta vs Lawrence Best Bet

Grabbing Lawrence to win by points at plus odds to too good to pass up here. After all, three of his last four victories have come via decision, while Argueta's only career loss was determined by the judges. Both of these fighters have proven they can grind out fights in an attempt to wear down their foes. In this case, Lawrence's UFC experience gives him just enough of an edge to be worth trusting.

Bet: Ronnie Lawrence by Points (+110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.