Celtics vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (Can Boston Avoid Getting Swept?)

Celtics vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 4 (Can Boston Avoid Getting Swept?)


The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Tuesday, May 23 with Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat.

Celtics vs Heat Game 4 Info

  • Series: MIA leads 3-0
  • Date: Tuesday, May 23, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: TNT

The Heat are now just one win away from the NBA Finals after notching a 128-102 blowout win over the Celtics in Game 3. Gabe Vincent was the hero this time, tallying a game-high 29 points while Duncan Robinson finished with 22 points while shooting 5-of-7 from the three-point line off the bench.

Celtics vs Heat Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds, and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: BOS: (+108) | MIA: (-126)
  • Spread: BOS: +2 (-110) | MIA: -2 (-110)
  • Total: 216 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as slight home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 216 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

Celtics vs Heat Betting Trends

  • Boston is 0-5 straight up (SU) in its last five games against Miami.
  • Miami is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against the Eastern Conference.
  • Boston is 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games.
  • Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last five games against Boston.
  • The total has hit the Over in 11 of Boston's last 14 games.
  • The total has hit the Over in five of Miami's last six games against Boston.

Celtics vs Heat Prediction & Pick

The Celtics have struggled on offense in this series, averaging just 107.7 points on 45.7% shooting. Things became even worse in Game 3 as they finished with just 102 points while shooting just 39.8% from the floor and 26.2% from beyond the arc. Furthermore, no Boston player recorded more than 14 points Sunday night.

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Although it's hard to imagine the Celtics getting swept, it's a very real possibility. The Heat are averaging 13 more points per game than them through three games while boasting a 125.3 offensive rating compared to the Celtics' 111.8. Miami has also been more careful with the ball, turning it over 14 fewer times than Boston.

On top of that, the Heat are getting contributions from up and down their lineup. While Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo were relatively quiet in Game 3, Vincent and Robinson showed up. That hasn't been the case for the Celtics, whose offense seems to vanish if Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum don't rise to the occasion.

Having gone 7-1 SU thus far against the top two Eastern Conference teams in the preseason, look for the Heat to complete the sweep.

Final Score Prediction: Heat: 117 | Celtics: 112

Celtics vs Heat Best Bet

Even though the Heat are more than capable of advancing to the NBA Finals, there's also a chance that the Celtics finally show up with their backs against the wall. Keeping that in mind, I'm taking more of a neutral approach for the best bet by backing the total to go over 216 points.

The first three games of this series have all exceeded that point total as the two sides have averaged 228.3 points in that span. As a result, six of the last seven Boston-Miami matchups have now hit at least 216 points.

Even if the Celtics' offense hasn't been there yet, the Heat's attack hasn't disappointed. Whether it's a close game or another blowout, I don't see any reason not to believe that these teams won't surpass Tuesday's projected total.

Bet: Over 216 Total Points (-110)

Watch FanDuel TV’s new NBA show “Run It Back” with Shams Charania, Michelle Beadle, Chandler Parsons, and Eddie Gonzalez Monday-Wednesday at 10 ET on FanDuel TV, the FanDuel Youtube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.