Bellarmine vs North Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for ASUN Tournament (Ospreys Soar Over Knights to Round 2)

Bellarmine vs North Florida Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for ASUN Tournament (Ospreys Soar Over Knights to Round 2)


Bellarmine vs North Florida Game Info

2023 Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament - Round 1
Bellarmine (14-17, 9-9 ASUN) vs. North Florida (14-16, 9-9 ASUN)
Date: Monday, February 27, 2023
Time: 7 PM ET
Venue: Liberty Arena -- Lynchburg, VA
Coverage: ESPN+

The 2022-23 ASUN Tournament kicks off with an intriguing first-round matchup between the Bellarmine Knights and North Florida Ospreys.

These conference rivals close out the regular season against each other, resulting in a 79-67 victory for North Florida on Feb. 24. The victory was the Ospreys' fourth in their last five games, leaving time to tell if they can continue that momentum tonight.

Bellarmine vs North Florida Odds & Spread

North Florida enters this contest as the slight favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 139.5 points with the over being favored at -115 odds.

Bellarmine vs North Florida Betting Trends

  • Bellarmine is 5-11 straight up in its last 16 games.
  • North Florida is 7-2 straight up in its last nine games in February.
  • Bellarmine is 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last nine games.
  • North Florida is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games.
  • The total has hit the over in five of Bellarmine's last eight games.
  • The total has hit the under in five of North Florida's last seven home games on a Monday.

Bellarmine vs North Florida Prediction & Pick

As mentioned before, North Florida easily handled Bellarmine in their last meeting less than a week ago. The Ospreys dominated on the perimeter and in the paint, going 12-of-24 (50.0%) from the three-point line while winning the rebounding battle 34-21.

I don't see tonight's result being much different. Bellarmine are among the nation's worst teams when it comes to both rebounding and three-point defense. Not only do the Knights allow an average of 9.6 threes (No. 358) on 35.5% shooting (No. 264), but they also tally the fewest rebounds (28.2) of all 363 NCAA Division-I schools.

After vanquishing Bellarmine by 12 points just last week, look for North Florida to advance in the ASUN Tournament tonight.

Final Score Prediction: North Florida: 76 | Bellarmine: 70

Bellarmine vs North Florida Best Bet

When it comes to tonight's best bet, I have my eyes on North Florida covering the spread. After all, the Ospreys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and have covered the spread in six of their last eight ASUN tilts. Meanwhile, Bellarmine is only 3-8 ATS in its last 11 February games, but also 2-5 ATS in its last seven outings against the conference's East Division.

At the end of the day, winning by at least one three-pointer shouldn't be an issue for North Florida.

Bet: North Florida -2.5 (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.