Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 21 (Bears' Offense Prevails in Big 12 Showdown)

Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for February 21 (Bears' Offense Prevails in Big 12 Showdown)


Baylor vs Kansas State Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 9 Baylor (20-7, 9-5 Big 12) vs. No. 12 Kansas State (20-7, 8-6 Big 12)
  • Date: Tuesday, February 21, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bramlage Coliseum -- Manhattan, Kansas
  • Coverage: ESPN2

Tuesday, Feb. 21's NCAA college basketball slate includes a massive Big 12 meeting between the No. 9 Baylor Bears and No. 12 Kansas State Wildcats.

Baylor is out for revenge after an 87-71 loss to ranked Kansas ended its winning streak at four games. Meanwhile, Kansas State aims to win back-to-back contests for the first time this month following a 61-55 win over then-No. 19 Iowa State.

Can Baylor prove that its loss to Kansas was nothing but a fluke? Or will Kansas State find a way to stand tall at Bramlage Coliseum?

Baylor vs Kansas State Odds & Spread

Baylor enters this contest as the slim road favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 148.5 points with both sides sitting at -110 odds.

Baylor vs Kansas State Betting Trends

  • Baylor has beaten the spread 15 times in 27 games.
  • The Bears' ATS record as 1.5-point favorites or more is 12-10.
  • This season, 14 of Baylor's 27 games have gone over the point total.
  • Kansas State has beaten the spread 17 times in 27 games.
  • The Wildcats' ATS record as 1.5-point underdogs or greater is 4-6.
  • Out of Kansas State's 27 games so far this season, 14 have hit the over.
Baylor Rank Baylor AVG Kansas State AVG Kansas State Rank
38th 78.5 Points Scored 75.4 90th
179th 69.7 Points Allowed 68.1 132nd
225th 31.1 Rebounds 32.5 139th
48th 10.2 Off. Rebounds 9.0 138th
20th 9.4 3pt Made 7.0 226th
61st 14.9 Assists 16.7 12th
155th 11.7 Turnovers 13.6 309th

Baylor vs Kansas State Prediction & Pick

While both teams have decent defenses, Baylor's offense gives it the edge tonight. The Bears average 78.5 PPG (No. 25) this season and have gone over 80 points in two of their last five games. They're also great at creating space, highlighted by their 14.9 assists per contest (T-No. 41). For reference, the Wildcats' defense surrenders an average of 13.4 helpers (No. 220).

It's also hard to trust Kansas State when it has lost three of its last five contests. It doesn't help that Jerome Tang's team has been held to 66 or fewer points four times over that stretch. Considering how Baylor has held three of its last five opponents to 68 or fewer points, I don't see the Wildcats' offensive luck changing.

Throw in the fact that the Bears are 7-1 straight up in their last eight games against the Wildcats and it's easy to see why Baylor should be victorious tonight.

Final Score Prediction: Baylor: 76 | Kansas State: 70

Baylor vs Kansas State Best Bet

I'm siding with Baylor on the spread as the best bet for this contest. After all, the Bears have covered the spread in four of their last five games and are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Wildcats. As great as Kansas State has been against the spread, it's only 2-4 ATS in its last six games.

While it'll be a competitive game, Baylor won't have an issue winning this by at least a basket.

Bet: Baylor -1.5 (-118)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.