Baylor vs Creighton Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 19 NCAA Tournament Game (Offenses Thrive in Denver)

Baylor vs Creighton Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 19 NCAA Tournament Game (Offenses Thrive in Denver)


Baylor vs Creighton Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Tournament Game
  • No. 11 Baylor (23-10) vs. Creighton (22-12)
  • Date: Sunday, March 19, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena -- Denver, Colorado
  • Coverage: TBS

Sunday, March 19's NCAA Tournament Round of 16 slate features the No. 3 Baylor Baylors facing the No. 6 Creighton Bluejays in South Region action.

Baylor's world-class defense came to play in its 74-56 victory over No. 14 UC Santa Barbara. Meanwhile, Ryan Kalkbrenner's game-high 31 points paved the way for Creighton's 72-63 win against No. 11 NC State.

So, which team will move on to the Sweet 16?

Baylor vs Creighton Odds & Spread

Baylor enters this contest as a slight favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 144.5 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

Baylor vs Creighton Betting Trends

  • Baylor has covered the spread 18 times in 33 games.
  • The Bears have an ATS record of 15-13 as 0.5-point favorites or more.
  • Baylor has played 33 games this year, and 17 of them have hit the over.
  • Creighton is 17-17-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Bluejays have won twice ATS (2-3) as a 0.5-point underdog or more this year.
  • This year, 16 of Creighton's 34 games have gone over the point total.
Baylor Rank Baylor AVG Creighton AVG Creighton Rank
54th 77.1 Points Scored 76.5 63rd
167th 69.8 Points Allowed 68.3 126th
270th 30.1 Rebounds 34.7 40th
77th 9.7 Off. Rebounds 7.4 279th
15th 9.6 3pt Made 8.7 51st
76th 14.5 Assists 15.9 22nd
187th 11.9 Turnovers 10.9 83rd

Baylor vs Creighton Prediction & Pick

While both sides boast top-50 offenses ahead of this matchup, Creighton is the more accurate of the two. The Bluejays shoot 46.7% from the floor (No. 38), whereas the Bears own a 44.9% field-goal percentage. If Baylor continues being the more inaccurate team, Creighton will pounce on all missed opportunities, proven by its 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (No. 4).

One of the ways that Creighton has been winning games is because it knows how to stretch the floor. The Bluejays tally 15.9 assists (No. 20) and 8.7 threes (No. 44) on 35.5% shooting (No. 99) per game. Although the Bears have slightly above-average three-point defense, the fact that it gives up the 29th-assists means the Bluejays should still see a fair amount of open looks.

In a game that should be as close as the odds imply, back Creighton's to move on.

Final Score Prediction: Creighton: 76 | Baylor: 73

Baylor vs Creighton Best Bet

When two top-50 offenses meet, it's hard not to take the OVER. After all, the OVER is 4-2 in Creighton's last six games, as well as 4-3 in Baylor's last seven. Furthermore, the Bluejays have allowed a 72.3 PPG clip over their previous four contests while the Bears have given up 73-plus in two of their last three.

With neither side playing great defensively as of late, expect the 144.5-point total to be surpassed.

Bet: Over 144.5 Points (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.