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JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
4.5f
Unknown
Dirt
30.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NANAMI (2) landed her maiden success over this course and distance last time, scoring by 3 lengths. Sparingly raced and has more to offer. Nicely drawn and she is a key runner. DONA SOLAIRE (1) has been safely held at her last couple of runs, the latest when 12th over 5f at Kokura Dirt. Has struggled on the JRA circuit recently but is better placed here. FORTITUDE (5) didn't do a bad job when third last start after being in contention on the corner over 4f at Urawa, beaten 0.6 lengths. That followed a win at Urawa the start prior. Finds a tougher race but she has the talent to test this line-up. ARC OF LIFE (9) showed good early speed over 4 ½f at this track last time and went on to salute by 3 lengths. Can sneak into the finish again.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Nanami silk

Third race start. Promising on debut 4th in a small field at this track on September 12 over 7f, 40 len behind La La Meteo with 119lbs at $6.10. Returned from break favourite, won by 3 len at this track February 5 over 4 ½f defeating Auftakt with 119lbs at $1.80. Great chance to make it two in a row. Improver with winning prospects.

1st Pick
2

Nanami

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Kenichi Takatsuki

180---25%3/1

Analysis

Third race start. Promising on debut 4th in a small field at this track on September 12 over 7f, 40 len behind La La Meteo with 119lbs at $6.10. Returned from break favourite, won by 3 len at this track February 5 over 4 ½f defeating Auftakt with 119lbs at $1.80. Great chance to make it two in a row. Improver with winning prospects.

1
Dona Solaire silk

Comes off a 40 day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 at Kokura Dirt on January 24 over 5f, 13 len behind Kattappa carrying 115lbs at $63.10. The run before that 11th of 16 at Fukushima Dirt on November 24 over 5 ¾f, 15 len behind Lux Raymond carrying 115lbs at $17.90. Low draw and expected to go well.

2nd Pick
1

Dona Solaire

Jockey: Kosuke Sakurai

Trainer: Masayoshi Yagi

J: Kosuke Sakurai

T: Masayoshi Yagi

61---20%4/1

Analysis

Comes off a 40 day let-up. Most recently 12th of 14 at Kokura Dirt on January 24 over 5f, 13 len behind Kattappa carrying 115lbs at $63.10. The run before that 11th of 16 at Fukushima Dirt on November 24 over 5 ¾f, 15 len behind Lux Raymond carrying 115lbs at $17.90. Low draw and expected to go well.

5
Fortitude silk

Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Urawa on February 26 over 4f, 0.6 len behind Tunas with 121lbs at $1.60. The race before that favourite, won by 2.5 len at Urawa January 6 over 4f defeating Jun Siri carrying 119lbs at $1.90. Definite chance.

3rd Pick
5

Fortitude

Jockey: Haruto Nakayama

Trainer: Takashi Mizuno

J: Haruto Nakayama

T: Takashi Mizuno

105---15%6/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at Urawa on February 26 over 4f, 0.6 len behind Tunas with 121lbs at $1.60. The race before that favourite, won by 2.5 len at Urawa January 6 over 4f defeating Jun Siri carrying 119lbs at $1.90. Definite chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).