JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

PURE CHROME (5) looks the right horse to beat on his placing at this track two starts ago, when second to Kastanie and beaten only half a length after finishing strongly. His Nakayama Dirt run over 1 ?m last time was plain, but the class drop and return to a race where his local placing reads well give him the strongest winning case. PASSION ROSA (3) was beaten a long way first-up, yet she made late ground and now stays at a light weight, so she has scope to be more competitive second-up. ROUGE NOVA (2) resumes for a new stable after a Nagoya third behind Meiner Mont Blanc and has already won and placed at this distance, which keeps her firmly in the mix despite the break. TROPICAL BREEZE (8) was disappointing when well found first-up, but her debut fourth at this venue gives her a place profile if she rebounds sharply.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Back from a five-week let-up with the key reference still his second at this track two starts ago, beaten half a length by Kastanie after finishing strongly. His latest eighth in a Mdn over 1m at Nakayama Dirt was below that level, with Piedmont beating him over 10 lengths, but the class drop and prior local placing make him the most reliable winning option here. 1st Pick 5 Pure Chrome Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Takayuki Hayashi J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Takayuki Hayashi	159	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Back from a five-week let-up with the key reference still his second at this track two starts ago, beaten half a length by Kastanie after finishing strongly. His latest eighth in a Mdn over 1m at Nakayama Dirt was below that level, with Piedmont beating him over 10 lengths, but the class drop and prior local placing make him the most reliable winning option here.
3	Back after five weeks since her first-up fifth at this track, where she was beaten out of sight but did make up useful ground late behind Quality Chocolat. She remains a maiden after ten starts, so the winning record is thin, yet the light weight is a positive and that closing effort gives her a platform to be much more competitive second-up. 2nd Pick 3 Passion Rosa Jockey: Yu Makoto Kato Trainer: Hiromi Yamazaki J: Yu Makoto Kato T: Hiromi Yamazaki	99	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Back after five weeks since her first-up fifth at this track, where she was beaten out of sight but did make up useful ground late behind Quality Chocolat. She remains a maiden after ten starts, so the winning record is thin, yet the light weight is a positive and that closing effort gives her a platform to be much more competitive second-up.
2	Resumes after four months off the back of a Nagoya third, beaten just over four lengths by Meiner Mont Blanc after racing handy without threatening the winner. That followed a sixth at the same venue when big odds. She has a win and two placings from six starts around 7f, so the distance is no issue, and she profiles as a genuine place hope if forward enough first-up. 3rd Pick 2 Rouge Nova Jockey: Ryo Tanaka Trainer: Isamu Kubo J: Ryo Tanaka T: Isamu Kubo	155	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Resumes after four months off the back of a Nagoya third, beaten just over four lengths by Meiner Mont Blanc after racing handy without threatening the winner. That followed a sixth at the same venue when big odds. She has a win and two placings from six starts around 7f, so the distance is no issue, and she profiles as a genuine place hope if forward enough first-up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.