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7:00 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
9.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MOZU MIKOSHI (12) is racing well and is close to a win, the latest effort a solid third at Kasamatsu over 1m. Finds a tougher race but a win is not out of the question. KYOEI CEREZO (1) is racing well and is close to a win, the latest effort a solid third at Funabashi over 6f. Best figures measure up. Sure to run well. QUEEN'S KAYANOHIME (6) drifted back over 7 ½f here last time before winding up late to finish seventh, beaten 4 lengths. Can play a role in the finish. MUNDI (7) has switched yards since finishing third six-and-a-half weeks ago over 1 ¹/16m at Nagoya.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Mozu Mikoshi silk

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 55-day let-up. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Kasamatsu on December 12 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Akdeniz carrying 126lbs at $2.60. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at Kasamatsu on November 28 over 7f, 4 len behind Six Pack with 126lbs at $4.80. Genuine contender.

1st Pick
12

Mozu Mikoshi

Jockey: Ryo Novata

Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki

J: Ryo Novata

T: Kenichi Takatsuki

148---58%8/11

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Returns from a 55-day let-up. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Kasamatsu on December 12 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Akdeniz carrying 126lbs at $2.60. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at Kasamatsu on November 28 over 7f, 4 len behind Six Pack with 126lbs at $4.80. Genuine contender.

1
Kyoei Cerezo silk

Recent form sound. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Funabashi on January 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind End Stage carrying 119lbs at $27.30. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Saga on December 7 over 7f, 3 len behind Belle Shiny carrying 119lbs at $2.90. Low draw and expected to go well.

2nd Pick
1

Kyoei Cerezo

Jockey: Takehiro Kasano

Trainer: Masaki Iwasaki

J: Takehiro Kasano

T: Masaki Iwasaki

147---25%3/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Last start came from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Funabashi on January 20 over 6f, 3.5 len behind End Stage carrying 119lbs at $27.30. The run before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 9 at Saga on December 7 over 7f, 3 len behind Belle Shiny carrying 119lbs at $2.90. Low draw and expected to go well.

6
Queen's Kayanohime silk

Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Most recently 7th of 14 at this track on January 1 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Heuresis carrying 119lbs at $69.60. Before that 9th of 13 at this track on December 17 over 1m, 9 len behind Tenderly carrying 119lbs at $42.30. Expected to be doing her best work late.

3rd Pick
6

Queen's Kayanohime

Jockey: Hiroki Okamura

Trainer: Masayoshi Yagi

J: Hiroki Okamura

T: Masayoshi Yagi

83---15%6/1

Analysis

Comes here off a 35-day let-up. Most recently 7th of 14 at this track on January 1 over 7 ½f, 4 len behind Heuresis carrying 119lbs at $69.60. Before that 9th of 13 at this track on December 17 over 1m, 9 len behind Tenderly carrying 119lbs at $42.30. Expected to be doing her best work late.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.