JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred

8 Runners

7.5f

Unknown

Dirt

26.4K

VIEW

Verdict

KUMASAN FAMILY (7) has the best current race shape on form, with a third at this track last start after being beaten five lengths by Shanghai Honey and stronger local stable-and-rider support than most of these. She has placed two times from four starts at this venue and looks the most reliable winning option despite not putting them away last time. SASAKIN TOSA (8) resumes after four months and has a stronger career profile than his latest two Kanazawa efforts suggest, with one win and one place from four starts and a previous win at around 7 ½f. IVY FREYJA (4) brings consistency fresh, having placed at both starts before the break, including a length-and-a-half third at this track when she worked into the race nicely. COSMO NEUJAHR (2) has been fourth at both recent runs here, was beaten just under three lengths last start, and has the race fitness to hold a genuine place chance if he can find a little more at the end.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Worked into a better result last start when third at this track behind Shanghai Honey, beaten five lengths after having the drop on the leaders. She had been unwanted in betting when seventh the start prior, but still worked home fairly, and her two placings from four runs at this venue read well in this field. With Ryo Novata and a leading local stable in her corner, she sets the standard. 1st Pick 7 Kumasan Family Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki J: Ryo Novata T: Yoshihisa Suzuki	120	-	-	-	45%	5/4
Analysis Worked into a better result last start when third at this track behind Shanghai Honey, beaten five lengths after having the drop on the leaders. She had been unwanted in betting when seventh the start prior, but still worked home fairly, and her two placings from four runs at this venue read well in this field. With Ryo Novata and a leading local stable in her corner, she sets the standard.
8	Returns from a lengthy spell after two heavy defeats at Kanazawa, most recently sixth behind Hajimarino Aizu when beaten over 18 lengths at big odds. Those runs are a concern, but his broader profile is stronger than that, with one win and one place from four starts and a previous win at around 7 ½f. Fresh, he has enough substance to be a major player if he recaptures his best. 2nd Pick 8 Sasakin Tosa Jockey: Yuki Furuoka Trainer: Junichi Murata J: Yuki Furuoka T: Junichi Murata	104	-	-	-	5%	20/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell after two heavy defeats at Kanazawa, most recently sixth behind Hajimarino Aizu when beaten over 18 lengths at big odds. Those runs are a concern, but his broader profile is stronger than that, with one win and one place from four starts and a previous win at around 7 ½f. Fresh, he has enough substance to be a major player if he recaptures his best.
4	Returns from a lengthy spell with two placings from as many starts, which gives her a solid base for a race of this shape. She was last seen finishing third at this track, beaten a length and a half by Gold Carrera after working into the race nicely. Her debut third behind Night Move also had merit, and she is entitled to be competitive again if she resumes in the same order. 3rd Pick 4 Ivy Freyja Jockey: Akira Harita Trainer: Hiroyuki Mogi J: Akira Harita T: Hiroyuki Mogi	125	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell with two placings from as many starts, which gives her a solid base for a race of this shape. She was last seen finishing third at this track, beaten a length and a half by Gold Carrera after working into the race nicely. Her debut third behind Night Move also had merit, and she is entitled to be competitive again if she resumes in the same order.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bug

An apprentice jockey.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.