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6:45 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
7.5f
Unknown
Dirt
36.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

GOLD CARRERA (4) gets the nod on the strength of his course form and the win two starts back, when he beat Derecho at this venue before battling on for fifth behind Loose Aggressive. The five-week spacing looks suitable and he has enough around-7 ½f substance to be the one they have to beat. YUYU ADONIS (5) is the progressive danger after winning by four lengths from Attrice at this track, having placed on debut behind Snow Jewel, he is only two starts into his career and looks open to further improvement. CO'S BLEU (2) has the place profile, with a 7 ½f win already banked and Naoki Machida taking the ride, though the last-start defeat behind Loose Aggressive was too plain to ignore. DERECHO (7) resumes after finishing within half a length of Gold Carrera and his record of three placings from four starts keeps him in the argument, even if he is still chasing that first win.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Gold Carrera silk

Returns from a five-week let-up with the strongest overall case, having battled on for fifth behind Loose Aggressive last start after being an outside chance in betting. The key reference is his start-prior win at this track, where he beat Derecho by half a length as favourite. With one win and one placing from three starts at this venue, he sets the standard and looks ready to make it count.

1st Pick
4

Gold Carrera

Jockey: Norifumi Mikamoto

Trainer: Seiji Yamazaki

J: Norifumi Mikamoto

T: Seiji Yamazaki

188---39%13/8

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up with the strongest overall case, having battled on for fifth behind Loose Aggressive last start after being an outside chance in betting. The key reference is his start-prior win at this track, where he beat Derecho by half a length as favourite. With one win and one placing from three starts at this venue, he sets the standard and looks ready to make it count.

5
Yuyu Adonis silk

Returns from a five-week let-up as a lightly raced colt with genuine upside, having won by four lengths from Attrice at this track after starting among the outsiders. His debut third behind Snow Jewel over 4 ½f was sound enough, and he then showed a much sharper finishing profile second time out. Third-up with Ryusei Nakagoshi staying aboard, he is a strong winning chance again.

2nd Pick
5

Yuyu Adonis

Jockey: Ryusei Nakagoshi

Trainer: Kazumi Takei

J: Ryusei Nakagoshi

T: Kazumi Takei

143---29%5/2

Analysis

Returns from a five-week let-up as a lightly raced colt with genuine upside, having won by four lengths from Attrice at this track after starting among the outsiders. His debut third behind Snow Jewel over 4 ½f was sound enough, and he then showed a much sharper finishing profile second time out. Third-up with Ryusei Nakagoshi staying aboard, he is a strong winning chance again.

2
Co's Bleu silk

Returns from a five-week freshening after being beaten over 18 lengths behind Loose Aggressive at this track, when unwanted in the market and under pressure late. His previous start was a narrow win from Gold Sunday, and he has one win and two placings from four starts around 7 ½f. The Gold Carrera line is a hurdle, but his overall profile still gives him sound place claims.

3rd Pick
2

Co's Bleu

Jockey: Naoki Machida

Trainer: Katsuyoshi Uchida

J: Naoki Machida

T: Katsuyoshi Uchida

132---20%4/1

Analysis

Returns from a five-week freshening after being beaten over 18 lengths behind Loose Aggressive at this track, when unwanted in the market and under pressure late. His previous start was a narrow win from Gold Sunday, and he has one win and two placings from four starts around 7 ½f. The Gold Carrera line is a hurdle, but his overall profile still gives him sound place claims.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.