JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

26.4K

VIEW

Verdict

UNSUI (2) sets the standard after a commanding six-length win at this track, where he was odds-on, sat behind the leaders, and pulled away to beat Reve Filles. Now second-up, he's already won here at this distance and retains a rider with a perfect record on him, making his form the benchmark. GHERKIN VIPER (6) poses the main threat, returning after five months off, having won his only start here by two and a half lengths as the odds-on favourite. The small debut field raises some depth concerns, but he did convincingly beat Ikuno Knight and is proven at this trip. RIKEA CHA CHA CHA (5) was well behind Unsui last start, but her Ohi third two runs back was stronger, and her trainer-jockey combo keeps her in the place mix. REVE FILLES (7) followed Unsui home first-up and has three placements from six starts around 4 ½f, though the six-length gap suggests she's more of a minor hope.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Resumed with a dominant win at this track, scoring by six lengths after sitting behind the leaders and putting Reve Filles away with authority. He was sent out an odds-on favourite there and now stays at a track and distance where he is one from one, with Ryo Novata also one from one aboard. Second-up and bringing the strongest recent figure, he looks the clear horse to beat again. 1st Pick 2 Unsui Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Satoshi Koda J: Ryo Novata T: Satoshi Koda	208	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Resumed with a dominant win at this track, scoring by six lengths after sitting behind the leaders and putting Reve Filles away with authority. He was sent out an odds-on favourite there and now stays at a track and distance where he is one from one, with Ryo Novata also one from one aboard. Second-up and bringing the strongest recent figure, he looks the clear horse to beat again.
6	Returns from a five-month break after winning his only start at this track, beating Ikuno Knight by two and a half lengths on debut as an odds-on favourite. He tracked the speed, moved up strongly and was never seriously threatened, albeit in a small field. Already one from one at this venue and distance, he has the right profile to give the favourite a genuine race first-up. 2nd Pick 6 Gherkin Viper Jockey: Haruhisa Sano Trainer: Hideo Kubo J: Haruhisa Sano T: Hideo Kubo	92	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Returns from a five-month break after winning his only start at this track, beating Ikuno Knight by two and a half lengths on debut as an odds-on favourite. He tracked the speed, moved up strongly and was never seriously threatened, albeit in a small field. Already one from one at this venue and distance, he has the right profile to give the favourite a genuine race first-up.
5	Was disappointing behind Unsui at this track last start, finishing seventh and beaten over 17 lengths after settling well back and making no impression. Her previous Ohi third was far more competitive, beaten just over a length after being run down late, and the leading trainer-jockey combination is a positive. A return to that earlier effort puts her in the placing discussion. 3rd Pick 5 Rikea Cha Cha Cha Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Kenichi Takatsuki J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Kenichi Takatsuki	138	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Was disappointing behind Unsui at this track last start, finishing seventh and beaten over 17 lengths after settling well back and making no impression. Her previous Ohi third was far more competitive, beaten just over a length after being run down late, and the leading trainer-jockey combination is a positive. A return to that earlier effort puts her in the placing discussion.

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