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7:00 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
GOOD
47.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

KISEN LEOPARDO (7) is the top pick on debut for Satoru Furusawa, with the Mikki Isle colt carrying 121lbs and drawing widest. The stable's debut record is not the strongest, but he is still assessed as the runner with the best winning profile. AINO SKY LINE (3) has a very persuasive stable angle, with Seiichi Kato showing six wins from 10 debut runners, and the Matera Sky filly has barrier three and 119lbs to help her case. ARC BRAVE (2) draws well and has useful family pointers, including Arc Premier as a five-time winner and Arc Chocolat having placed on debut. NO MORE YOU (1) has the inside barrier and comes from a Yuya Yamazaki yard with a 28% debut strike rate and 67% place rate from the sample supplied, which gives him a sound top-three platform.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Kisen Leopardo silk

Debuts for Satoru Furusawa as a Mikki Isle colt out of Suu Suu, with Wada Joji engaged and 121lbs from barrier seven. The stable's supplied debut record shows placings without a win, so the draw asks for professionalism, but he is still rated the leading chance in the race and has the profile to make an immediate impact.

1st Pick
7

Kisen Leopardo

Jockey: Wada Joji

Trainer: Satoru Furusawa

J: Wada Joji

T: Satoru Furusawa

62---39%13/8

Analysis

Debuts for Satoru Furusawa as a Mikki Isle colt out of Suu Suu, with Wada Joji engaged and 121lbs from barrier seven. The stable's supplied debut record shows placings without a win, so the draw asks for professionalism, but he is still rated the leading chance in the race and has the profile to make an immediate impact.

3
Aino Sky Line silk

Starts her career with a strong stable signal, as Seiichi Kato has produced 6 winners from 10 debut runners in the supplied sample. The Matera Sky filly draws barrier three, gets 119lbs and has Tsubasa Sasagawa aboard, while Rikea Macchiato and World Unity give the family some winning depth. She rates a strong winning chance on profile.

2nd Pick
3

Aino Sky Line

Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa

Trainer: Seiichi Kato

J: Tsubasa Sasagawa

T: Seiichi Kato

58---29%5/2

Analysis

Starts her career with a strong stable signal, as Seiichi Kato has produced 6 winners from 10 debut runners in the supplied sample. The Matera Sky filly draws barrier three, gets 119lbs and has Tsubasa Sasagawa aboard, while Rikea Macchiato and World Unity give the family some winning depth. She rates a strong winning chance on profile.

2
Arc Brave silk

Makes his debut for Sakai Shinobu from barrier two, which gives Niihara Shuma options from the outset. The family has some substance, with Arc Premier a five-time winner and Arc Chocolat having run second on debut over 4 ½f. By K T Brave out of Arc Spinel, he looks one of the more credible first starters and profiles as a realistic place chance.

3rd Pick
2

Arc Brave

Jockey: Niihara Shuma

Trainer: Sakai Shinobu

J: Niihara Shuma

T: Sakai Shinobu

82---20%4/1

Analysis

Makes his debut for Sakai Shinobu from barrier two, which gives Niihara Shuma options from the outset. The family has some substance, with Arc Premier a five-time winner and Arc Chocolat having run second on debut over 4 ½f. By K T Brave out of Arc Spinel, he looks one of the more credible first starters and profiles as a realistic place chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.