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7:00 AM

JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
7f
Unknown
Dirt
47.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LA LA SOLEIL (6) gets the nod on debut for Sakai Shinobu, with Takayuki Yano a significant booking as one of the leading riders at this track. Her trainer has produced 1 winner and 4 placings from 9 debut runners, which gives her a solid first-start profile. MARINA DANCER (3) appeals as the main danger from barrier 3, with Hiroyuki Mogi's debut record showing 5 placings from 8 starters and her half-sibling Sante Orange having run second on debut. S G MIRACLE (4) has a practical middle draw and Juichi Tajima's first-starter record of 3 placings from 6 runners reads well for a placing type. SMILE CHAIN (1) draws the inside, has Ryo Novata aboard as the top-ranked jockey for wins at this track, and comes from a Mozu Ascot family with two full siblings already successful.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
La La Soleil silk

Debuts for Sakai Shinobu with Takayuki Yano booked, and that rider engagement is a key positive given he is one of the leading jockeys at this track. The stable has produced 1 winner and 4 placings from 9 debut starters, while this filly carries 119lbs and profiles neatly by New Year's Day from La La Sans Soufre. She looks the most appealing first-starter and is the one they have to beat.

1st Pick
6

La La Soleil

Jockey: Takayuki Yano

Trainer: Sakai Shinobu

J: Takayuki Yano

T: Sakai Shinobu

88---43%11/8

Analysis

Debuts for Sakai Shinobu with Takayuki Yano booked, and that rider engagement is a key positive given he is one of the leading jockeys at this track. The stable has produced 1 winner and 4 placings from 9 debut starters, while this filly carries 119lbs and profiles neatly by New Year's Day from La La Sans Soufre. She looks the most appealing first-starter and is the one they have to beat.

3
Marina Dancer silk

Starts out for Hiroyuki Mogi, whose debut runners have placed 5 times from 8 starts, and that is one of the stronger exposed stable patterns in this line-up. Barrier 3 gives her a straightforward starting point, while half-sibling Sante Orange won twice and ran second on debut at Nagoya. By Structor from Orange Orange, she brings enough first-start indicators to be a serious winning chance.

2nd Pick
3

Marina Dancer

Jockey: Kenji Okamura

Trainer: Hiroyuki Mogi

J: Kenji Okamura

T: Hiroyuki Mogi

49---29%5/2

Analysis

Starts out for Hiroyuki Mogi, whose debut runners have placed 5 times from 8 starts, and that is one of the stronger exposed stable patterns in this line-up. Barrier 3 gives her a straightforward starting point, while half-sibling Sante Orange won twice and ran second on debut at Nagoya. By Structor from Orange Orange, she brings enough first-start indicators to be a serious winning chance.

4
S G Miracle silk

Debuts for Juichi Tajima with Naoki Machida taking the ride, and the jockey sits fourth for wins at this track. The stable's debut record is solid for this level, with 3 placings from 6 starters, while the family includes Dantsu Dore, a five-time winner. Some of the sibling debut efforts were plain, but the placement statistics give him a realistic minor-money shape.

3rd Pick
4

S G Miracle

Jockey: Naoki Machida

Trainer: Juichi Tajima

J: Naoki Machida

T: Juichi Tajima

50---20%4/1

Analysis

Debuts for Juichi Tajima with Naoki Machida taking the ride, and the jockey sits fourth for wins at this track. The stable's debut record is solid for this level, with 3 placings from 6 starters, while the family includes Dantsu Dore, a five-time winner. Some of the sibling debut efforts were plain, but the placement statistics give him a realistic minor-money shape.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.