JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

12.0K

VIEW

Verdict

PORT ELLEN (8) brings the clearest winning profile, coming off a B4 third at Mombetsu where she was beaten just over half a length after finishing strongly. Her C3 win two back came as odds-on favourite, and her record at around 4 ½f is excellent with three wins and two placings from five starts. PASSION MARE (4) is the main danger after a Nagoya third, beaten just over two lengths, and she gets weight relief to help turn that placing into a stronger challenge. LADY CUTIE (9) improved into third at Urawa at big odds and the winning rider returns, so she profiles as a genuine place-to-win hope if holding that form. PLAYA DEL CARMEN (7) has been well beaten at Ohi, but weight relief, a stable switch and a freshening give her some scope to improve.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Returns from a one-month let-up as the clear form runner, having finished strongly for third in a B4 at Mombetsu, beaten just over half a length by Yoshino Kamuy. That followed an odds-on C3 win over Fingal's Cave, and her overall record stands at three wins and three placings from seven starts. With three wins and two placings from five around 4 ½f, she is the one to beat. 1st Pick 8 Port Ellen Jockey: Niihara Shuma Trainer: Hiromi Yamazaki J: Niihara Shuma T: Hiromi Yamazaki	225	-	-	-	39%	13/8
Analysis Returns from a one-month let-up as the clear form runner, having finished strongly for third in a B4 at Mombetsu, beaten just over half a length by Yoshino Kamuy. That followed an odds-on C3 win over Fingal's Cave, and her overall record stands at three wins and three placings from seven starts. With three wins and two placings from five around 4 ½f, she is the one to beat.
4	Returns from a six-week freshening off a much better Nagoya third, leading to the turn before being run down late and beaten just over two lengths by Win Madeira. She had been last over 7 ½f in a COND before that, but the shorter task and 112lbs setup suit far better. With weight relief and a placing from her only start at this distance, she is a strong winning chance. 2nd Pick 4 Passion Mare Jockey: Shoma Sato Trainer: Hiromi Yamazaki J: Shoma Sato T: Hiromi Yamazaki	78	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Returns from a six-week freshening off a much better Nagoya third, leading to the turn before being run down late and beaten just over two lengths by Win Madeira. She had been last over 7 ½f in a COND before that, but the shorter task and 112lbs setup suit far better. With weight relief and a placing from her only start at this distance, she is a strong winning chance.
9	Worked home evenly for third at Urawa last start, beaten three lengths by Kura Oryu despite starting at big odds. Her first-up run was a distant seventh, but she did make some ground from well back and now gets to the third run of the campaign. The winning rider returns, and while her 4 ½f record is place-heavy rather than winning, she is a realistic minor chance. 3rd Pick 9 Lady Cutie Jockey: Yoshimi Nakashima Trainer: Yutaka Kawashima J: Yoshimi Nakashima T: Yutaka Kawashima	74	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Worked home evenly for third at Urawa last start, beaten three lengths by Kura Oryu despite starting at big odds. Her first-up run was a distant seventh, but she did make some ground from well back and now gets to the third run of the campaign. The winning rider returns, and while her 4 ½f record is place-heavy rather than winning, she is a realistic minor chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.