JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

4.5f

Unknown

Dirt

14.4K

VIEW

R10

R11

R12

Verdict

TRUSTED (7) is the clear horse to beat after making it three wins in a row at Kanazawa, where she beat Nac State by three lengths in C1C2 grade as a heavily backed odds-on favourite. Her previous win over Lot came in B1 grade by four lengths, and three wins from three starts at around 4 ½f gives her the strongest race fit profile. MEERES BRISE (10) is harder to warm to on the bare margins, having finished last at this track over 7f and second last in a Mdn at Sapporo, but she is fourth-up and still rates as the main danger on the supplied recent profile. PASSION MARE (11) was beaten as one of the better-backed runners last start, yet her Nagoya third two back and distance placing keep her in the winning conversation. GUSUKU (4) was plain at Urawa last start, though his fourth at this venue the run prior reads well enough for a place-style chance.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Returns from a five-week freshening in outstanding form, having won three in a row and most recently beating Nac State by three lengths at Kanazawa in C1C2 grade as a heavily backed odds-on favourite. She had already won a B1 by four lengths from Lot, again as a dominant favourite. Three wins from three starts at this distance underlines the edge, and she sets a clear standard. 1st Pick 7 Trusted Jockey: Tsubasa Sasagawa Trainer: Seiji Yamazaki J: Tsubasa Sasagawa T: Seiji Yamazaki	301	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening in outstanding form, having won three in a row and most recently beating Nac State by three lengths at Kanazawa in C1C2 grade as a heavily backed odds-on favourite. She had already won a B1 by four lengths from Lot, again as a dominant favourite. Three wins from three starts at this distance underlines the edge, and she sets a clear standard.
10	Comes here fourth-up and is assessed as a key chance despite two plain recent results. She was last at this track over 7f behind Alia Fabula after weakening late, and the start prior was a second-last finish in a Sapporo Mdn behind Meisho Tenjin. The 4 ½f record is not flattering, but her broader 12-month profile keeps her firmly among the main hopes. 2nd Pick 10 Meeres Brise Jockey: Mitsuhiro Masuda Trainer: Kazumi Takei J: Mitsuhiro Masuda T: Kazumi Takei	62	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Comes here fourth-up and is assessed as a key chance despite two plain recent results. She was last at this track over 7f behind Alia Fabula after weakening late, and the start prior was a second-last finish in a Sapporo Mdn behind Meisho Tenjin. The 4 ½f record is not flattering, but her broader 12-month profile keeps her firmly among the main hopes.
11	Was expected to run better last start when fifth at this track behind Lady Cutie, beaten seven and a half lengths after battling on without quite threatening. The run prior at Nagoya was stronger, leading and only being run down late for third behind Win Madeira. With a placing from two starts at the distance and Ryo Novata aboard, she remains a solid winning chance. 3rd Pick 11 Passion Mare Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Hiromi Yamazaki J: Ryo Novata T: Hiromi Yamazaki	73	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Was expected to run better last start when fifth at this track behind Lady Cutie, beaten seven and a half lengths after battling on without quite threatening. The run prior at Nagoya was stronger, leading and only being run down late for third behind Win Madeira. With a placing from two starts at the distance and Ryo Novata aboard, she remains a solid winning chance.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.