JP - Kawasaki - Race 3

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

Unknown

Dirt

24.0K

VIEW

Verdict

VIVIEN PALACE (4) is the top pick despite a plain debut, having been asked to sprint over 4 ½f when last behind Akeno Hime and now given the chance to show more with that race experience behind her. The first try at around 7f is the query, but this is not a deep exposed-form race and she has the profile to improve sharply second-up. DAINO EIKO (2) also comes through a heavy debut defeat, yet he showed enough early speed to lead before dropping out behind Ganar Iroha and now has the leading local rider aboard, which gives him a genuine rebound case. BEAR BLAZE (6) was beaten a long way in the same race as Daino Eiko, but did finish ahead of him and comes from a leading-trainer yard, so she has a place-to-winning chance if the debut run brings her on. BELLA BROWNIE (7) has at least had two race starts and was fair late when fifth behind Up Up Up after giving away too much ground, making him a minor contender with race fitness on his side.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Returns after one month since a 4 ½f debut at this track, where she settled well back and was tailed off behind Akeno Hime at generous odds. The first attempt at around 7f is the obvious unknown, but that debut experience can count for plenty in a field with limited depth. With Naoki Machida booked and scope to improve second-up, she still shapes as the horse to beat. 1st Pick 4 Vivien Palace Jockey: Naoki Machida Trainer: Hideo Kubo J: Naoki Machida T: Hideo Kubo	86	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Returns after one month since a 4 ½f debut at this track, where she settled well back and was tailed off behind Akeno Hime at generous odds. The first attempt at around 7f is the obvious unknown, but that debut experience can count for plenty in a field with limited depth. With Naoki Machida booked and scope to improve second-up, she still shapes as the horse to beat.
2	Returns after one month since a debut run where he led at this track but weakened right out to finish last behind Ganar Iroha, never competitive and beaten out of sight. That form has to be treated cautiously, yet he is second-up, drawn inside and gets Ryo Novata, the leading track jockey. If that first run has brought him forward, he has enough upside to be a major player. 2nd Pick 2 Daino Eiko Jockey: Ryo Novata Trainer: Terukazu Imai J: Ryo Novata T: Terukazu Imai	73	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Returns after one month since a debut run where he led at this track but weakened right out to finish last behind Ganar Iroha, never competitive and beaten out of sight. That form has to be treated cautiously, yet he is second-up, drawn inside and gets Ryo Novata, the leading track jockey. If that first run has brought him forward, he has enough upside to be a major player.
6	Returns after one month since debuting at this track, where she conceded a huge start and was never in the race, finishing sixth behind Ganar Iroha and beaten a long way. She did finish ahead of Daino Eiko in that same race, which is relevant here, and the Yoshihisa Suzuki stable has strong local standing. Improvement second-up can put her into the placings. 3rd Pick 6 Bear Blaze Jockey: Ryo Tanaka Trainer: Yoshihisa Suzuki J: Ryo Tanaka T: Yoshihisa Suzuki	72	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Returns after one month since debuting at this track, where she conceded a huge start and was never in the race, finishing sixth behind Ganar Iroha and beaten a long way. She did finish ahead of Daino Eiko in that same race, which is relevant here, and the Yoshihisa Suzuki stable has strong local standing. Improvement second-up can put her into the placings.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.