North Texas vs Boise State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for 2022 Frisco Bowl (Broncos Excel on Defense Once Again)

North Texas vs Boise State Frisco Bowl Game Info

2022 College Football Game - Frisco Bowl
North Texas Mean Green (7-6) vs. Boise State Broncos (9-4)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022
Time: 9:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Toyota Stadium — Frisco, TX
Coverage: ESPN

With the 2022-23 college football regular season in the rearview mirror, bowl games are right around the corner. The Frisco Bowl is set for kickoff on Saturday, Dec. 17, and pits the North Texas Mean Green against the Boise State Broncos. This will be each team's first apperance at the Frisco Bowl.

North Texas finished the season with a 7-6 record and made it to the Conference USA championship game for the first time 2017. Meanwhile, Boise State posted a 9-4 record and made it to the Mountain West Championship game for the first time since 2020. Both teams will be looking to rebound from a loss in those games with a bowl victory.

North Texas vs Boise State Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: UNT: (+280) | BOISE: (-360)
Spread: UNT: +7.5 (-105) | BOISE: -7.5 (-115)
Total: 55.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Boise State enters this contest as a clear favorite on the moneyline and spread. This clash also features a total of 55.5 points, which ranks as one of the highest among the college football bowl game slate.

North Texas vs Boise State Prediction & Pick

It's been a roller coaster season for North Texas. The Mean Green have not won more than two games in a row, yet they have not lost more than two games in a row. The recent outing by quarterback Austin Aune (14-of-29, 194 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions) has to be concerning, though.

Aune now has to face a Boise State defense that is giving up 163.6 passing yards per game, which is the third-best mark in the nation. The Broncos are also allowing an opponent completion percentage of only 51.3% (No. 2 in FBS). All of the pressure will be on North Texas' running backs to succeed.

Boise State is averaging a reliable 29.0 points per game and is 7-1 straight up in its last eight games against a Conference USA opponent. I feel confident backing the Broncos to win the Frisco Bowl.

Final Score Prediction: North Texas: 20 | Boise State: 28

North Texas vs Boise State Betting Trends

- North Texas is 7-6 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The total has hit the over in eight of North Texas' 13 games this season.
- Boise State is 6-6-1 ATS this season.
- The total has hit the under in seven of Boise State's 13 games this season.

North Texas vs Boise State Best Bet

It's surprising to see this total rank as one of the highest among college football bowl games. That's because the under has cashed in 14 of Boise State's last 20 games as well as in each of its last five games in December. This is a Broncos team that knows how to get out to an early lead and coast.

Boise State is allowing just 19.5 points per game (No. 11 in FBS), so North Texas may struggle to cross the 20-point mark here. That means the Broncos would have to put up 35 or more points for the over to even have a chance of cashing. They have only done that in five of their 13 games.

Bet: Under 55.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.