NFL - Odds & Predictions

Falcons vs Commanders Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 12 (Don't Expect Fireworks in Crucial NFC Matchup)

Larry Rupp
Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 12 game.
Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 12 game. / AP Photos/David J. Phillip
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Falcons vs Commanders Week 12 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 12
Atlanta Falcons (5-6, 1-4 Away) vs. Washington Commanders (6-5, 2-3 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: FedEx Field — Landover, MD
Coverage: FOX

The Atlanta Falcons will aim to climb back into the NFC Playoff picture when they visit the Washington Commanders in Week 12 NFL action. The Falcons kicked a late field goal to beat the Chicago Bears by a score of 27-24 in Week 11. Safety Jaylinn Hawkins nabbed his second interception of the year.

Meanwhile, the Commanders defeated the Houston Texans by a score of 23-10 on Sunday to earn their fifth win in the last six weeks. Running back Antonio Gibson paced the offense with 103 total yards, while defensive linemen Jonathan Allen and Montez Sweat each logged 2.0 sacks on defense.

Falcons vs Commanders Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: ATL: (+160) | WAS: (-190)
Spread: ATL: +3.5 (-110) | WAS: -3.5 (-110)
Total: 40.5 — Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

The Commanders enter this contest as a small home favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the lower totals on the Week 12 slate at 41.5 points.

Falcons vs Commanders Prediction & Pick

This game may not be one that everyone is circling on a loaded Week 12 schedule, but it's a game that comes with a lot of meaning. The Commanders are only 0.5 games back of the Seattle Seahawks for the final NFC Wild Card spot. The Falcons then check in right behind them at just 1.5 games back.

I'm going to give the edge to the road team here. Atlanta has looked stellar against the run all season long, allowing just 4.4 yards per carry (T-No. 11 in NFL). That doesn't bode well for a Washington offense that has posted a rushing play percentage of 56.9% over the last three weeks (No. 2 in NFL).

The Falcons are also 6-1 straight up in their last seven games against the Commanders.

Final Score Prediction: Falcons: 21 | Commanders: 17

Falcons vs Commanders Betting Trends

- Atlanta is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games against Washington.
- The total has hit the under in five of Atlanta's last six games in November.
- Washington is 5-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
- The total has hit the under in eight of Washington's last 10 home games.

Falcons vs Commanders Best Bet

The Commanders have been leaning on the run game as of late and it's worth pointing out that the Falcons have played the same way. Atlanta has posted the second-highest rushing play percentage in the NFL this season (56.6%) and averages 32.8 rushing attempts per game as well (No. 4 in NFL).

Two rushing offenses meeting head-to-head often results in a running clock and a number of lengthy possessions. The total has hit the under in seven of Washington's last nine games as well as in five of Atlanta's last six games played in November. Back the under to cash again in this tense NFC matchup.

Bet: Under 41.5 Points (-105)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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