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3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Monday 2/5/24

Aidan Cotter
Aidan CotterAidanCotterFD
3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Monday 2/5/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers prop bets for key games to dive deeper in the action.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. Then, we can turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

Miami at Virginia

Nijel Pack Over 12.5 Points (-108)

Despite Miami's measly 63-point implied total, fourth-year guard Nijel Pack is well-positioned to hit the over on his point prop, which is currently set at 12.5 (-108).

Pack is Miami's third-leading scorer with 14.7 points per game. He averages the most minutes (33.8) and shot attempts (12) on the team, so we know the volume will be there.

Sure, his efficiency fluctuates. Pack is shooting only 43% from the floor this season, but he's made 38% of his three-point attempts and 78% of his free throws.

His volume has ticked up deeper into ACC play, and the per-game numbers have followed. Over his last 10 games, Pack leads the Hurricanes with 14.7 field goal attempts and ranks second with 16.7 points per game. He scored at least 13 points in 8 of those 10 and in 3 of 5 true road games.

Tonight's matchup with Virginia is tough. The Cavaliers are the eighth-best defensive team in the country, according to numberFire's metrics. In conference play, Virginia has allowed just 61.7 points per game, the fewest in the ACC. They're fourth in field goal percentage allowed (42%) and play at the slowest pace in the ACC.

Still, it's not like opposing guards have been totally shut out by Virginia. In 11 conference games, 13 different players have scored at least 15 points against them. Among those, 11 were guards.

That makes sense when you check out their defensive shooting splits on Bart Torvik. Virginia gives up the second lowest at-rim field goal percentage in the conference, but they're just fourth in three-point defense. However, they've allowed 40% of opponents' field goal attempts to come from beyond the arc, fourth-highest in the ACC.

That should lend itself to a busy night for Pack, so I like him to go over 12.5 points. Given the high rate at which Virginia allows outside shots, Nijel Pack 3+ Made Threes (+152) is certainly appealing, too. Pack has nailed at least three triples in 9 of 20 games overall and in 7 of 11 ACC matchups.

No. 8 Kansas at Kansas State

Tylor Perry Over 14.5 Points (-102)

Senior guard Tylor Perry leads Kansas State with 15.3 points per game at home this season. With Perry going up against a questionable Kansas defense, I like him to go over his point prop, currently set at 14.5 (-102).

Perry is coming off a pair of big performances, scoring 23 and 19 points across K State's last two games. Although Perry had failed to crack double-digits in the three games prior as inconsistent scoring has been the story of the season. He exceeded 15 points in 12 of 22 games overall but was held under 10 six times.

That said, this is a good spot for a ceiling game. While Kansas is one of the top teams in the country, they're just 35th nationally in numberFire's defensive metrics.

Among 14 Big 12 teams, Kansas ranks sixth in scoring defense (70.7 points per game) in conference play. They've given up 8.1 made threes (12th) per game and rank third in pace.

The game environment hints at a high-scoring affair, too. With a decent total (144.5) and tight spread (Kansas -4.5), Kansas State will likely lean on its senior point guard in what should be a back-and-forth game.

Over 75% of Perry's buckets have come from beyond the arc this season, and he leads the Big 12 in three-point attempts, per Bart Torvik. When you add in Kansas' suspect perimeter D, there's some logic in taking Tylor Perry 3+ Made Threes, too. He has hit that mark in 10 of 22 games overall and 4 of 9 Big 12 games.

For our sake, I'll stick with just Perry to go over 14.5 points tonight.

Johnny Furphy Over 12.5 Points (-110)

On the opposite side, Kansas wing Johnny Furphy will look to stay hot and cover a point prop of his own, currently set at 12.5 (-110).

Furphy has scored 13 points only six times this season, but five of those instances have come in the last six games. That's coincided with an uptick in playing time, as Furphy has seen at least 30 minutes in six straight. He's averaging 15.6 points and 8.0 field goal attempts per game over that span.

Simply put, Furphy's points prop still hasn't caught up with his new role. Although Kansas State has the fourth-best scoring defense in the Big 12, Kansas' 74.5 implied total still hints at plenty of offense for the visitors.

Furphy's points are where I lean tonight, but I can see the case for taking Johnny Furphy 3+ Made Threes (+174), as well. He made three triples in five of the last six games while Kansas State has given up the fifth-most three-point attempts in Big 12 play.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.