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CasinoWest Saratoga: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction
The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.
West Saratoga earned 67 qualifying points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby -- 11th-most of any horse in the field.
West Saratoga Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position
West Saratoga's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 50-1 (+5000), tied for 18th-best in the field.
West Saratoga drew post position 13.
Post | Horse | Trainer | Jockey | ML Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dornoch | Danny Gargan | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
| 2 | Sierra Leone | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione | 3-1 |
| 3 | Mystik Dan | Kenny McPeek | Brian Hernandez | 20-1 |
| 4 | Catching Freedom | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
| 5 | Catalytic | Saffie Joseph, Jr. | Jose Ortiz | 30-1 |
| 6 | Just Steel | D. Wayne Lukas | Keith Asmussen | 20-1 |
| 7 | Honor Marie | Whit Beckman | Ben Curtis | 20-1 |
West Saratoga Horse Trainer and Jockey
West Saratoga has feel-good connections as trainer Larry Demeritte makes his Kentucky Derby debut.
Jockey Jesus Castanon rode Shackleford to a Preakness win in 2011 and a fourth-place finish in the Kentucky Derby that year, as well.
West Saratoga Race History
West Saratoga's 10 races are three more than any qualified horse in the field other than Just Steel's 11. Just two wins came from the 10 starts -- but he finished in the money eight times. One of the wins did come at Churchill Downs, however: Iroquois Stakes (Gr. 3).
Speed Scores via Equibase.
Date | Track | Race | Finish | Speed Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/23/2024 | Turfway Park | Jeff Ruby Steaks (Gr. 3) | 2 | 93 |
| 2/10/2024 | Tampa Bay | Sam F. Davis Stakes (Gr. 3) | 3 | 84 |
| 1/13/2024 | Tampa Bay | Pasco Stakes (Black Type) | 2 | 68 |
| 10/7/2023 | Keeneland | Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (Gr. 1) | 5 | 81 |
| 9/16/2023 | Churchill Downs | Iroquois Stakes (Gr. 3) | 1 | 87 |
| 8/5/2023 | Ellis Park | Maiden Special Weight | 1 | 84 |
| 7/21/2023 | Ellis Park | Maiden Special Weight | 2 | 78 |
West Saratoga Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick
West Saratoga's eight top-three finishes are more than any horse in the field, but his average Speed Score of 80.6 bests only Society Man's 77.2 among the 18 qualified horses in the field with Speed Score data.
Despite racing volume, West Saratoga is also one of eight qualified horses in the field not to have recorded a Speed Score of at least 100 in a single race.
Watch FanDuel TV's Kyle Levy analyze West Saratoga below:
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