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CasinoSierra Leone: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction
The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.
Chad Brown-trained Sierra Leone dominated during prep races on the Road to the Kentucky Derby and enters as a favorite.
Sierra Leone Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position
Sierra Leone's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 3-1 (+300), second-best in the field.
Sierra Leone drew post position 2.
Post | Horse | Trainer | Jockey | ML Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dornoch | Danny Gargan | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
| 2 | Sierra Leone | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione | 3-1 |
| 3 | Mystik Dan | Kenny McPeek | Brian Hernandez | 20-1 |
| 4 | Catching Freedom | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
| 5 | Catalytic | Saffie Joseph, Jr. | Jose Ortiz | 30-1 |
| 6 | Just Steel | D. Wayne Lukas | Keith Asmussen | 20-1 |
| 7 | Honor Marie | Whit Beckman | Ben Curtis | 20-1 |
Sierra Leone Horse Trainer and Jockey
Sierra Leone is trained by Chad Brown. Brown's decorated history includes wins at the 2017 (Cloud Computing) and 2022 (Early Voting) Preakness Stakes. Brown-trained Domestic Product is also in the field.
Tyler Gaffalione rode War of Will to a 2019 Preakness Stakes win. Gaffalione won 19% of starts in 2023 and was second in earnings among North American jockeys, via Equibase.
Sierra Leone Race History
Sierra Leone has won three of four career races and has never finished worse than second. In the runner-up result at Aqueduct in December, Sierra Leone posted a 99 Equibase Speed Score and was bested by a nose by Derby contender Dornoch.
Date | Track | Race | Finish | Equibase Speed Figure |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/6/2024 | Keeneland | Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (Gr. 1) | 1 | 107 |
| 2/17/2024 | Fair Grounds | Risen Star Stakes (Gr. 2) | 1 | 98 |
| 12/2/2023 | Aqueduct | Remsen Stakes (Gr. 2) | 2 | 99 |
| 11/4/2023 | Aqueduct | Maiden Special Weight | 1 | 89 |
Sierra Leone Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick
With great connections and a high win rate, it's not a surprise that Sierra Leone is a favorite for Derby 150.
Sierra Leone's average Speed Score of 98.3 is bested only by Just A Touch's 100.0, and a max Speed Score output of 107 for Sierra Leone shows high-end potential.
Watch FanDuel TV's Kyle Levy analyze Sierra Leone below:
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