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CasinoGrand Mo the First: Kentucky Derby Horse Odds, History and Prediction
The 150th Kentucky Derby is nearly here, and the field of 20 three-year-old horses is set.
Grand Mo the First was on the bubble during the Road to the Kentucky Derby and sets up as a long shot ahead of the Kentucky Derby.
Grand Mo the First Kentucky Derby Odds and Post Position
Grand Mo the First's Kentucky Derby morning line odds are 50-1 (+5000), tied for 18th-best in the field.
Grand Mo the First drew post position 16.
Post | Horse | Trainer | Jockey | ML Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dornoch | Danny Gargan | Luis Saez | 20-1 |
| 2 | Sierra Leone | Chad Brown | Tyler Gaffalione | 3-1 |
| 3 | Mystik Dan | Kenny McPeek | Brian Hernandez | 20-1 |
| 4 | Catching Freedom | Brad Cox | Flavien Prat | 8-1 |
| 5 | Catalytic | Saffie Joseph, Jr. | Jose Ortiz | 30-1 |
| 6 | Just Steel | D. Wayne Lukas | Keith Asmussen | 20-1 |
| 7 | Honor Marie | Whit Beckman | Ben Curtis | 20-1 |
Grand Mo the First Horse Trainer and Jockey
Trainer Victor Barboza Jr. ranked 33rd in total wins in 2023 and makes his Kentucky Derby debut in 2024 with Grand Mo the First.
Jockey Emisael Jaramillo raced in the Derby once prior and rode Grand Mo the First to a 3rd at the Curlin Florida Derby in late March.
Grand Mo the First Race History
Grand Mo the First has two wins in six races and has not finished outside the money in any start thus far.
Speed Scores via Equibase.
Date | Track | Race | Finish | Speed Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/30/2024 | Gulfstream Park | Curlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa (Gr. 1) | 3 | 86 |
| 3/9/2024 | Tampa Bay | Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (Gr. 3) | 3 | 82 |
| 2/3/2024 | Gulfstream Park | Swale Stakes (Listed) | 3 | 86 |
| 10/8/2023 | Santa Anita | Zuma Beach Stakes (Gr. 3) | 3 | 91 |
| 9/1/2023 | Gulfstream Park | Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 | 82 |
| 8/6/2023 | Gulfstream Park | Maiden Special Weight | 1 | 74 |
Grand Mo the First Kentucky Derby Prediction and Pick
Although Grand Mo the First has two wins and has finished in the money in all six starts, he has a max Speed Score of 91, which is the second-lowest top output for any of the 18 horses in the field with Speed Score data entering the 150th Kentucky Derby.
A huge deviation in the positive sense for Grand Mo the First might be necessary for him to threaten.
Post 16 has a 7.8% win rate at the Derby, the 8th-highest clip. The last winner was Animal Kingdom (2011).
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