Thunder vs. Mavericks Western Semifinals Odds Prediction, Spread, Tip Off Time, Best Bets for May 7

Thunder vs. Mavericks Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, May 7, 2024
• Time: 9:30 PM ET
• Venue: Paycom Center -- Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• Coverage: TNT and truTV

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-point favorites in Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Dallas Mavericks at Paycom Center on Tuesday, beginning at 9:30 PM ET on TNT and truTV. The point total in the matchup is set at 220.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (80.2%)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 46 times in 82 games with a set spread.
• In the Mavericks' 82 games this season, they have 48 wins against the spread.
• This season, 45 of the Thunder's games have gone over the point total.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under 45.1% of the time this year (37 of 82 games with a set point total).
• Oklahoma City has done a better job covering the spread in home games (27-14-0) than it has in road affairs (19-21-1).
• The Thunder have gone over the total in a lower percentage of home games (51.2%) than away games (58.5%).
• Against the spread, Dallas has had better results away (27-14-0) than at home (21-20-0).
• In 2023-24 a lower percentage of the Mavericks' games have finished above the over/under at home (39%, 16 of 41) compared to on the road (51.2%, 21 of 41).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 30.1 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.2 assists.
• Chet Holmgren is averaging 16.5 points, 2.4 assists and 7.9 boards.
• Jalen Williams' numbers on the season are 19.1 points, 4 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game, shooting 54% from the floor and 42.7% from downtown (ninth in league), with an average of 1.5 made 3-pointers.
• Josh Giddey averages 12.3 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.8 assists, shooting 47.5% from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc, with 1 made 3-pointers per game.
• Luguentz Dort is averaging 10.9 points, 3.6 boards and 1.4 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.

Mavericks Leaders

• Luka Doncic averages 33.9 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists. He is also sinking 48.7% of his shots from the field and 38.2% from 3-point range, with 4.1 triples per contest (second in league).
• The Mavericks get 25.6 points per game from Kyrie Irving, plus 5 rebounds and 5.2 assists.
• Per game, Daniel Gafford gets the Mavericks 11 points, 7.6 rebounds and 1.6 assists, plus 0.9 steals and 2.1 blocks (sixth in league).
• The Mavericks are receiving 12.9 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from P.J. Washington.
• The Mavericks receive 14.4 points per game from Tim Hardaway Jr., plus 3.2 boards and 1.8 assists.

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