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PGA Picks

Updated: March 12, 2024 
By Kurt Boyer

The Players Championship: 2024's Top Odds to Win and Best Picks 

The Players Championship Futures Markets (Win Only) 

Scottie Scheffler +550
Rory McIlroy +1200
Justin Thomas +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Max Homa +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Viktor Hovland +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Collin Morikawa +3000
Will Zalatoris +3000
Jordan Spieth +3300
Ludvig Åberg +3500
Shane Lowry +3500
Wyndham Clark +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Si Woo Kim +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Jason Day +5000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Brian Harman +5500
Corey Conners +6000
Min Woo Lee +6000
Tom Hoge +6000
Tony Finau +6500
Byeong Hun An +7000
Matt Fitzpatrick +7500
Aaron Rai +8000
Keegan Bradley +9000
Sungjae Im +9000
Tom Kim +9000
Adam Scott +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Keith Mitchell +10000
Emiliano Grillo +10000
Adam Hadwin +10000
Cam Davis +10000
Doug Ghim +11000
Justin Rose +11000
Rickie Fowler +11000
Brendon Todd +11000
Harris English +11000
Andrew Putnam +12000
Eric Cole +12000
Erik van Rooyen +12000
Denny McCarthy +12000
Billy Horschel +12000
Nick Taylor +12000
Alex Noren +12000
Jake Knapp +15000
Austin Eckroat +15000
Nicolai Højgaard +15000
J.T. Poston +15000
Beau Hossler +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000
Matthieu Pavon +17000
Stephan Jaeger +17000
Sepp Straka +17000
Akshay Bhatia +20000
Kevin Yu +20000
Luke List +20000
Andrew Novak +20000
Davis Thompson +22000
Patrick Rodgers +25000
Maverick McNealy +25000
Thomas Detry +27000
Taylor Pendrith +30000
Taylor Moore +30000
Kurt Kitayama +30000
Justin Suh +30000
Webb Simpson +30000
Ryan Fox +30000
Ben Griffin +35000
Seamus Power +35000
Ryo Hisatsune +35000
Nick Dunlap +35000
Adam Svensson +35000
Sami Valimaki +40000
Vincent Norrman +40000
K.H. Lee +40000
Matt Wallace +40000
Mackenzie Hughes +40000
Lee Hodges +40000
Taylor Montgomery +40000
Chesson Hadley +40000
Greyson Sigg +40000
Brandon Wu +40000
Garrick Higgo +40000
Tyler Duncan +40000
Matt Kuchar +40000
Martin Laird +40000
Adam Schenk +40000
Steve Stricker +40000
Mark Hubbard +40000
Justin Lower +50000
Scott Stallings +50000
Nick Hardy +50000
Jimmy Stanger +50000
Robert MacIntyre +50000
Aaron Baddeley +50000
Nico Echavarria +50000
Sam Ryder +50000
Carson Young +50000
Gary Woodland +50000
Charley Hoffman +50000
Ben Silverman +50000
Sam Stevens +50000
Alex Smalley +50000
Chan Kim +50000
Joel Dahmen +60000
Nate Lashley +60000
Troy Merritt +60000
S.H. Kim +60000
Ben Kohles +60000
Michael Kim +60000
Grayson Murray +60000
Joseph Bramlett +60000
J.J. Spaun +60000
Ben Martin +60000
Chad Ramey +60000
Matti Schmid +60000
Francesco Molinari +60000
C.T. Pan +60000
Brice Garnett +60000
Carl Yuan +75000
Matt NeSmith +75000
Zac Blair +75000
Dylan Wu +75000
Robby Shelton +75000
Kevin Streelman +75000
Camilo Villegas +75000
David Skinns +75000
Peter Malnati +75000
Davis Riley +75000
Harry Hall +75000
David Lipsky +100000
Hayden Buckley +100000
Chez Reavie +100000
Tyson Alexander +100000
Ryan Moore +100000
Ben Taylor +100000
Callum Tarren +100000

The first thing to notice about this week's field for The Players Championship is that it's much, much fatter than last week's trimmed-down field at the 2024 Bay Hill Invitational. FanDuel Sportsbook's method of grouping PGA Tour long-shot betting picks at 50-to-1, 60-to-1, and 75-to-1 odds helps to ascertain what category bookmakers are putting the year's PGA Tour players into as threats to pay off picks, or highly unlikely winners. 

That's not the first thing most FanDuel users will notice, though, especially since popular PGA Tour futures bet Rory McIlroy's odds to win are dwarfed by another player about to tee-off at Sawgrass. Scottie Scheffler is a higher-priced pick to win 2024's The Players Championship than McIlroy, or any other player, by a factor of more than twofold. 

Scheffler's (+550) odds to win The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass are so expensive for the sportsbook's PGA gamblers that it's not satisfactory to compare his market to only the other golfers in this week's field. Futures picks of 5-to-1 to win a PGA Tour tournament, any PGA Tour tournament, against a field of 100+ players is a historically strong mark. It's been a while since a PGA Tour competitor has garnered such magnificent betting odds without winning a bunch of Grand Slam events first. Tiger Woods often drew 5-to-1 or shorter lines to win in his heyday, but he was chasing Big Jack's records at the time. 

Then again, Scheffler made a lie out of our PGA Picks scroll's advice at Bay Hill. Scheffler was selling picks at steep prices of 6-to-1 to win the 2024 Bay Hill Invitational, and we were quick to warn beginning golf bettors away from making those picks on a gambling favorite against a smallish, but star-studded field. But then the event itself occurred, and Scheffler pulled away from the Bay Hill field with a sparkling 6-under-par performance on Sunday, lifting Arnold Palmer's championship trophy after prevailing by 5 strokes. What's even more impressive is that he did so against a leaderboard of the toughest names around, including the recent major champions Wyndham Clark and Shane Lowry, and Will Zalatoris. In contrast, McIlroy shot +4 on the final day of Arnie's tournament. 

Justin Thomas is somewhat of a surprise at (+2000) odds to win, having fallen out of our site's PGA Tour top 10 with an offbeat 2023 performance. Gamblers like that Thomas had strong showings at Pebble Beach, TPC Scottsdale, and additionally Bay Hill this winter, though he missed the Genesis Open cut line, and then finished half of a dozen strokes outside the leaders' grouping at Bay Hill. Xander Schauffele makes just as appealing betting odds at (+2500), and Will Zalatoris' futures odds to win at Sawgrass is only at (+3000) or 30-to-1 because his T-73 finish last year clouds out 2021-22's good scores. 

We're not sure Thomas' efficient long game will make enough of a difference at Sawgrass, unless Thomas can suddenly pop back up with the finesse game and putting stroke that won on the parachute-target booby trap of a Florida layout in 2021. That doesn't mean Scheffler's iron game makes him a good pick at (+550). Perhaps no golfer is a good sportsbook pick at those odds, at least not since the Tiger of about 20 years ago. 

Just because a 6-to-1 pick worked out for everyone last weekend doesn't mean TPC Sawgrass will produce the same kind of FanDuel outcome. Follow the legendary golf gambling shark Norm MacDonald's advice, and avoid those PGA picks priced more expensively than 10-to-1. There's better value on that TPC betting board today. 

Recommended Picks: Rory McIlroy (+1200), Will Zalatoris (+3000)

Finding the Best PGA Tour Picks Every Golf Season

In these uncertain times, the consumer has every right to be skeptical of any company’s agenda, namely because there always seems to be a sales pitch lurking behind “these uncertain times.” It’s true that when you read NFL, NHL, or PGA Tour picks on a sports-betting provider’s blog, the page won’t include insider’s secrets for beating the house. Some gamblers are even convinced that any previews connected to Sin City (or New York) in any way are deliberately trying to trick a sportsbook’s clientele into bad picks.

The last thing FanDuel can afford to do is play cruel jokes on its customers. We would rather have our readers get good advice and succeed with their maiden picks than waste $20 on Lee Westwood to win the PGA Championship and never log on again. The same reasoning lies behind making sure FanDuel’s DFS contestants are matched against opponents they have a chance to beat in competition.

As for accuracy? Well … 100% is a tad trickier in that regard. As with betting on the NFL Draft, a golf betting strategy is built around rate-of-return instead of beating 52% with your picks. Hundreds of PGA pros compete to win every weekend, making it impossible to score with a majority of “futures” bets. Instead, armchair pundits must calculate players’ real chances of winning against the risk-reward posed by the sportsbook’s odds on whatever picks are made. That means if Dustin Johnson has a 1-in-10 shot to win at Augusta, he’s a great wager at above 10-to-1 payoff odds, and a poor bet at (+900) or shorter odds.

PGA Tour Betting Strategy and Overview of Golf Betting Markets

It may seem strange to read a PGA Tour handicapping page full of “picks, picks, picks” for each of the major championships. After all, there’s no such thing as having a bunch of your futures picks “succeed” in a market-to-win the PGA or The Masters. Only 1 pick can ultimately pay off—the winning pick. Close doesn’t count.

Yet it's bad to put your eggs in a single basket when PGA Tour pros are competing. Because the payout on a winning golf bet is often 10 or 20 times the risk, veteran links handicappers “diversify” by spending a small percentage of the bankroll on a number of picks who could win on Sunday, fielding, and following a “team” of PGA pros through 72 holes. If any member of the “team” is in weekend contention, the gambler has a chance.

Not that betting on players to win tournaments is the only option available to golf speculators at FanDuel Sportsbook. Here’s a look at a few other styles of PGA Tour betting odds available at America’s new legal sports gambling site.

FanDuel's 3-Balls Picks and Prop Bets on PGA Golf

Those who want a faster outcome in a slow-moving sport can take part in 3-balls betting. Gamblers wager on which of 3 PGA players in a weekday grouping will turn in the best scorecard through either 18 or 36 holes. Rory McIlroy and other superstars are often (-200) or shorter bets to prevail among a PGA Tour group’s Round 1 or combined Round 1 and Round 2 scores. Sentimental favorites like Phil Mickelson make common underdog picks.

There is a fine line between prop, or proposition bets, and “futures” bets on PGA professionals. For instance, odds on “Team USA or Team Europe winning the next Ryder Cup” are technically futures, but have been known to show up among a gambling site’s long-term sports prop bets.

A more clearly defined PGA prop bet might be “Will Rory McIlroy finish 2023 with the #1 World Ranking? Yes: (-110) No (-110).” Even if the final rankings of 2023 happen to be far in the future, which makes our hypothetical PGA Tour prop bet a “prop-future" market.

Gamblers who placed long-term prop bets on golf's 2020 season couldn’t have envisioned how the COVID-19 pandemic would change the calculations. Leave it to the crazy world of modern professional golf to whip up another seminal controversy within just 3 years.

How the PGA-LIV Merger Shapes PGA Picks in the 2020s

In the summer of 2023, the PGA Tour and its fans endured one of the strangest twists of fate ever seen in sports. PGA Tour and LIV Golf had been warring over golf's top players' contracts and defections, TV rights, and politics ever since Greg Norman's brainchild (alongside Saudi Arabia's money) came into being in 2021-22. Some of the PGA's most loyal golfers were so incensed that PGA Tour stars would leave for more money on an alternate tour that they stepped on LIV Golf competitors' putting lines when they had the chance. Then, out of nowhere, PGA Tour commissioner Jay Monahan announced that the tour would embark on a 3-way merger with LIV Golf and the DP World Tour, after months of attacking the character of any athlete or businessperson who had affairs with LIV.

Players such as Brooks Koepka will still miss a majority of weekly PGA Tour dates in 2024 and going forward, and likewise, we shouldn't expect many "stables" of committed PGA pros crashing the links in LIV's 54-hole events soon. That doesn't change the fact that it's a new Fantasy and golf betting landscape for FanDuel gamers accustomed to the tried-and-true.

It's harder to create a blood rivalry with a league you're merged with, and it'll be tougher to convince as many superstars to change golf tours now that the top players can soon pick their spoils from the best PGA Tour, DP World Tour, and LIV-themed events. Players attempting to keep a bitter feud going with LIV Golf's "rebels" have looked increasingly out-of-touch since the merger, embarrassing WGR leader Scottie Scheffler in 2024. The highly-rated iron shark joined with Tiger Woods and other PGA players in calling for "penalties" for players who participated in LIV Golf during the short-lived feud between rival tours. At the time, the PGA-LIV Golf merger appeared to be on the rocks, making the youngster's complaint into music to the ears of Davis Love III and other American links moguls who still despise Kopeka and others for leaving the tour. The problem was that shortly after that, in January, the PGA Tour and LIV appeared to finalize the merger. Resultantly, players who are still trying to whip up a blood rivalry with 2022 and 2023's dissenting golfers look more out-of-touch and bitter than anything else, though a large majority of other PGA golfers may follow Brooks Koepka's example and just move on.

Don't make the mistake, however, to think that the PGA Tour and major tournament odds at FanDuel won't continue to be affected by the short-lived battle of tours for a long time throughout the decade. Many fans feel as loyal to the PGA Tour as players like Scheffler, causing "grudges" against Koepka and other rebels from Greg Norman's events to depress betting action on those players, compared to what one would have expected to find in the numbers before the controversy ever took place. No golfer who participated in 2022-23's exodus could be found at shorter than 20-to-1 FanDuel futures odds going into the next major championship season, in spite of the 15+ combined major titles on the resumes of Koepka, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, and Cameron Smith. Meanwhile, a streak of major tournament futility lasting a decade can't knock Rory McIlroy out of favorites' gambling position, and we expect Scheffler's odds to stay steeply priced as well.

PGA Tour Picks: FanDuel Golf Betting FAQ

Where Do I Find PGA Tour Odds at FanDuel Sportsbook?

PGA Tour gamblers can find odds on golf's major championships by clicking "Golf" on the left-hand menu, then toggling the top menu boxes between "PGA Tour," "The Majors," "Tournament Match-Ups," and other categories of gambling markets on the links.

How Much Can I Win Betting on Golf Futures?

When betting on golf futures, it's often the lowest-risk markets that carry the best chance at a jackpot. Trevor Immelman won the 2008 Masters Tournament after drawing bets at super long-shot 150-to-1 futures odds prior to Thursday's tee-off, just a year after unheralded Zach Johnson won at 125-to-1 pre-tournament Masters odds! Immelman's bet-takers won an incredible $150 for every single dollar that they wagered on the market. The only consolation for sportsbooks was that not many gamblers had picked the South African pro to contend, let alone beat Tiger Woods over 72 holes.

What Are 3-Balls Bets Exactly?

FanDuel's 3-balls bets wager on which of 3 PGA players in a weekday grouping will turn in the best scorecard through either 18 or 36 holes. Don't confuse 3-balls betting with "Head to Head match-up" betting on the PGA Tour players, which is often geared for the entire tournament of 72 stroke-play holes.

What Are Golf's Major Championships?

Golf's 4 major tournaments are hosted by the Masters Tournament committee at Augusta National Golf Club, the Royal & Ancient Club (British Open), the United States Golf Association (United States Open), and the Professional Golfers of America, also known as the "PGA" in "PGA Championship." None of golf's majors are hosted by the PGA Tour.

What Is the Biggest Event on the PGA Tour?

Views vary as to the PGA Tour's host "Major," or which of the PGA Tour's marquee events stands as the organization's most prestigious championship. There are good arguments for the Tour Championship and Players' Championship, but it may be simply a matter of time before Jack Nicklaus' and Arnold Palmer's signature events come to greater prominence, The Memorial at Muirfield Village and the Bay Hill Invitational, respectively.