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NFL Draft Prop Bets: Reading, Tracking, and Predicting Outcomes in NFL Draft Props
By Kurt BoyerUpdated: March 4, 2024
FanDuel Sportsbook is the best place to bet NFL Draft prop bets for the upcoming 2024 NFL Draft, which is set to take place in Detroit, MI, at Campus Martius Park and Hart Plaza beginning on Thursday, April 25.
To set the NFL Draft mood, here is a quick rundown of the past 10 players who've been selected first overall:
| Draft Year | Player (POS) | Team |
| 2024 | ?? | Bears |
| 2023 | Bryce Young (QB) | Panthers |
| 2022 | Travon Walker (DL) | Jaguars |
| 2021 | Trevor Lawrence (QB) | Jaguars |
| 2020 | Joe Burrow (QB) | Bengals |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray (QB) | Cardinals |
| 2018 | Baker Mayfield (QB) | Browns |
| 2017 | Myles Garrett (DL) | Browns |
| 2016 | Jared Goff (QB) | Rams |
| 2015 | Jameis Winston (QB) | Buccaneers |
| 2014 | Jadeveon Clowney (DL) | Texans |
Last year's #1-overall pick to the Panthers, Crimson Tide quarterback Bryce Young, failed to live up to expectations as his team went 2-15. Young started 16 games, completing just 59.8% of his passes for 2,877 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 10 picks. These numbers are underwhelming, especially for a rookie who came with as much hype as Young did and was drafted 1 pick in front of Offensive Rookie of the Year, CJ Stroud.
Young's passer rating in 2023 was a miserable 73.7—the lowest in the NFL among any QBs with at least 12 games played. Young's Pro Football Focus (PFF) grade of 56.0 also sucks. You can read more about Bryce Young's futility over on the dreaded NFL Draft busts page.
The NFL Draft is always full of surprises, and hindsight is 20/20. The high picks don't always pan out, and there is plenty of value at the bottom every single year. Look at Brock Purdy. This dude was Mr. Irrelevant (the last player drafted) in 2022 and has made the NFC Championship game and the Super Bowl in back-to-back seasons.
Of course, we all know the Tom Brady story about how he was a 6th-round pick out of Michigan. Here is a list of some recent star players who were drafted in the 4th round or later:
| Draft Year | Player (POS) | College | Team (Rd) | Pro Bowls |
| 2023 | Puka Nacua (WR) | BYU | Rams (5) | 1 |
| 2022 | Brock Purdy (QB) | Iowa St | 49ers (7) | 1 |
| 2021 | Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) | USC | Lions (4) | 2 |
| 2019 | Tony Pollard (RB) | Memphis | Cowboys (4) | 1 |
| 2017 | George Kittle (TE) | Iowa | 49ers (5) | 5 |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott (QB) | Miss St | Cowboys (4) | 3 |
| 2016 | Tyreek Hill (WR) | W Alabama | Chiefs (5) | 8 |
| 2015 | Za'Darius Smith (LB) | Kentucky | Ravens (4) | 3 |
| 2015 | Stefon Diggs (WR) | Maryland | Vikings (5) | 4 |
This is why prop betting the NFL Draft is so exciting and is the most fun that can be had betting on American football in the spring (sorry, UFL).
NFL Draft Betting Props Odds for the 1st-Overall Pick of the 2024 NFL Draft
For the 2nd season in a row, the Chicago Bears hold the #1-overall pick in the NFL Draft. Last year, they traded down, swapping picks with the Panthers. This move allowed Carolina to take Bryce Young (Alabama).
Part of the return package for Chicago was Carolina's 2024 1st-round pick—a selection that wound up being first-overall thanks to the Panthers' horrible 2-15 record last year. The Bears now face a dilemma: trade down again and continue with Justin Fields at quarterback, or keep the pick and start over with a fresh gunslinger. We explore options more in-depth for the Bears trading Justin Fields or keeping him at our NFL Draft Hub.
Three of the first 4 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft were quarterbacks, with Bryce Young going 1st to the Panthers, CJ Stroud (Ohio State) going 2nd to the Texans, and Anthony Richardson (Florida) going 4th to the Colts.
Here are the current NFL Draft betting props odds for the 1st-overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The experts are fairly certain it will be a quarterback, as there are several good ones on the board.
Caleb Williams - QB, USC (-1600)
Drake Maye - QB, UNC (+1100)
Jayden Daniels - QB, LSU (+2500)
Marvin Harrison Jr - WR, OHIO ST (+2500)
Michael Penix Jr - QB, WASH (+10000)
Bo Nix - QB, ORE (+10000)
JC Latham - OT, BAMA (+10000)
Joe Alt - OT, ND (+10000)
Laiatu Latu - OT, UCLA (+10000)
Jared Verse - DE, FSU (+10000)
Dallas Turner - LB, BAMA (+10000)
JJ McCarthy - QB, MICH (+10000)
Brock Bowers - TE, UGA (+10000)
Olumuyiwa Fashanu - OT, PENN ST (+10000)
NFL Draft Betting Props Odds for the 2nd-Overall Pick of the 2024 NFL Draft
Below are the current NFL Draft betting props odds for the 2nd-overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. A little pro tip: this list will be very similar to the list above for #1-overall pick odds, given that Caleb Williams is very likely to go first overall.
Most experts believe Washington will stay put at #2 and draft their hometown guy, Drake Maye, out of North Carolina. Maye grew up a Redskins/Commanders fan, and the two seemingly want to make this work.
Of course, there is a small chance that either the Bears decide they love Drake Maye and draft him 1st or that some other team loves Drake Maye and moves up to #1 overall to draft him. Looking at the table above, the oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook give Maye (+1100) odds to go 1st overall. Those are implied odds of 8.3%.
Drake Maye - QB, UNC (-150)
Jayden Daniels - QB, LSU (+125)
Caleb Williams - QB, USC (+1900)
JJ McCarthy - QB, MICH (+2000)
Marvin Harrison Jr - WR, OHIO ST (+2500)
Joe Alt - OT, ND (+7500)
Bo Nix - QB, ORE (+10000)
Rome Odunze - WR, WASH (+10000)
Michael Penix Jr - QB, WASH (+10000)
Malik Nabers - WR, LSU (+10000)
Brock Bowers - TE, UGA (+10000)
JC Latham - OT, BAMA (+10000)
Laiatu Latu - OT, UCLA (+10000)
Jared Verse - DE, FSU (+10000)
Dallas Turner - LB, BAMA (+10000)
Olumuyiwa Fashanu - OT, PENN ST (+10000)
Taliese Fuaga - OT, ORE ST (+10000)
NFL Draft Betting Props Odds for the Team to Draft JJ McCarthy in 2024
Michigan quarterback JJ McCarthy led his Wolverines to 3-consecutive appearances in the College Football Playoff, culminating in a national title this past January. Other options like Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, and the Heisman winner Jayden Daniels are more likely to be drafted before McCarthy this spring, but JJ is still projected to be a first-rounder.
Those pining for the storyline of Jim Harbaugh drafting his old quarterback to his new NFL team, the Chargers, will likely be disappointed. While this would be a feel-good story, the Chargers are all set at quarterback with Justin Herbert and would be foolish to spend the 5th-overall pick on another signal-caller.
Instead, Harbaugh is very likely to go out and get either TE Brock Bowers (Georgia) or WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (Ohio State) to bolster his offense. This is why the Chargers don't even crack the top-10 teams most likely to draft JJ McCarthy—per the FanDuel Sportsbook odds below.
Denver Broncos (+500)
Minnesota Vikings (+500)
Atlanta Falcons (+500)
New York Giants (+750)
Las Vegas Raiders (+800)
New England Patriots (+900)
Seattle Seahawks (+1000)
Washington Commanders (+1600)
Pittsburgh Steelers (+1800)
New Orleans Saints (+2600)
The Denver Broncos pick 12th overall this year, while the Vikings pick 11th, and the Falcons 8th. This seems to be the territory that JJ McCarthy will fall to. So, while McCarthy will probably be on the board when the Chargers are on the clock, they don't need him.
NFL Draft Betting Props Odds for the Team to Draft Marvin Harrison Jr. in 2024
Most experts believe that standout Ohio State receiver Marvin Harrison Jr.—the son of Hall-of-Famer Marvin Harrison—will be the first non-quarterback taken in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Arizona Cardinals are the overwhelming favorites to grab him, as the top-3 picks this year are all expected to be quarterbacks.
Here are the current NFL Draft betting props odds for the team to select Marvin Harrison Jr. in the 2024 NFL Draft:
Arizona Cardinals (-370)
New England Patriots (+500)
Chicago Bears (+900)
Los Angeles Chargers (+1400)
Washington Commanders (+2900)
New York Giants (+4800)
Tennessee Titans (+6000)
Indianapolis Colts (+7500)
New York Jets (+10000)
Las Vegas Raiders (+10000)
What are NFL Draft Prop Bets and Prop Wagers?
Prop bets—or proposition bets—are bets that allow fans to wager on specific outcomes or events that aren't the final score. For example, you can bet whether or not your quarterback will throw an interception, whether each team will score a touchdown in the first half, or which coach will use more timeouts.
NFL Draft prop bets abound in late April as all 32 NFL franchises gather in Kansas City—the home of the Kansas City Chiefs—for the 3-day event that will determine the futures of over 250 young men
The fast-paced environment, the boneheaded moves, the savvy picks, the unpredictability of it all—these are the amazing feats and emotions which captivate both college and NFL fans while giving us something football-related to do while we wait out the 6-month offseason.
Types of NFL Draft Prop Bets Offered by FanDuel Sportsbook
The NFL offseason isn't just for baseball anymore. Thanks to the bevy of sports betting options on FanDuel, football fans have something to get excited about in April. It's the 2024 NFL Draft, and odds abound on nearly every conceivable aspect of the action.
One of the most fun NFL Draft props offered by FanDuel Sportsbook is betting on the total number of players selected from a given conference or school. This unique betting market gives college and NFL fans alike the opportunity to get involved in the NFL Draft and root for the players from their favorite teams.
Understanding who the top players are from each Power-5 conference and the needs of the NFL teams drafting is the first step toward making informed bets. This is hard work for one person, though—sifting through the latest rumors, reports, and trends to arrive at a good pick.
Luckily, you don't have to do it alone. The odds will change leading up to the draft, but our NFL Draft analysts are here to hold your hand through the exhilarating 3-day blur that is the 2024 NFL Draft.
Which Conferences and Teams Had the Most Players Drafted in the 2022 NFL Draft?
Those who keep up with our College Football Recruiting Rankings already know that the SEC hogs all of the talent in college football. It should surprise no one that the SEC was in front of all conferences with 65 players selected in the 2023 NFL Draft, tying the record for most picks in a single NFL Draft by one conference.
Those who keep up with our College Football Recruiting Rankings already know that the SEC hogs all of the talent in college football. It should surprise no one that the SEC was in front of all conferences with 62 players selected in the 2023 NFL Draft.
This number of 62 falls a tiny bit short of their record-setting mark of 65 in last year's NFL Draft.
Georgia and Alabama were tied with the most players selected in the NFL Draft last year with 10. In the 2023 NFL Draft, Michigan had the 2nd-most players picked (9), while TCU was 3rd with 8.
No one is touching the SEC's numbers. The Big Ten came the closest with 55 draft picks in 2023. The ACC was 3rd with 32 draft picks, the Big 12 had 30, and the dissolving Pac-12 went out with 27. The Group-of-5 conference with the most players selected in the 2023 NFL Draft was, again, the American with 10.
Why FanDuel Sportsbook is the Best Bet for NFL Draft Odds and NFL Draft Props
FanDuel Sportsbook offers a wide range NFL Draft odds and betting options for April's big event. Is our selection of prop wagers on the NFL Draft comprehensive yet easy to use? Yes, absolutely it is.
We offer all of the best NFL Draft odds plus have weeks worth of coverage from NFL Draft analysts to keep you informed and ready to make your first smart wager between April 27th and the 29th.
From betting on the 1st-overall pick to props on specific positions and players, there are NFL Draft props for every fan and betting style. FanDuel Sportsbook synthesizes excitement with their NFL Draft betting experience.
FAQ
Does FanDuel Have NFL Draft Props?
You bet your bottom dollar we do! The NFL Draft tab on FanDuel Sportsbook features our loaded suite of NFL Draft bets complete with the latest props, odds, and NFL Draft analysis. It's there for you, the humble sports betting aficionado, to make the most informed decisions possible this April.
What Styles of Bets Can be Placed on the 2023 NFL Draft?
FanDuel's selection of NFL Draft markets is as broad as any category at the sportsbook. Markets are available on the top draft selections, teams and conferences represented, "Over/Under" NFL Draft positions, "Team to Draft" coveted picks, and even "Mr. Irrelevant" betting odds on the final player selected.
What are the NFL Draft Odds on the Top College Football Players?
To see a complete list of the NFL Draft odds for the first pick of the 2023 NFL Draft, just head to the top of this page, where we update them for you live.
How do "O/U" Bets Work for the NFL Draft?
"Over/Under" lines on the NFL Draft work in a similar fashion to "O/U" bets on NFL games. First, FanDuel Sportsbook posts an O/U line for a given college player's draft position. Let's say it's over/under 3.5.
"Over" bets against the 3.5 number cash if the player is selected #4 or later in the NFL Draft. "Under" bets pay off if he is drafted 3rd overall or earlier.
Note that all O/U bets for the 2023 NFL Draft will be on half numbers, meaning there are no pushes.