Red Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for Aug. 11

Odds updated as of 9:15 a.m.

The MLB slate on Monday includes the Boston Red Sox facing the Houston Astros.

Before checking out the MLB betting lines on FanDuel Sportsbook, we've got you covered, in terms of the most important info regarding this matchup.

Red Sox vs Astros Game Info

• Boston Red Sox (65-54) vs. Houston Astros (66-52)
• Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Daikin Park -- Houston, Texas
• Coverage: SCHN and NESN

Red Sox vs Astros Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: BOS: (-172) | HOU: (+144)
• Spread: BOS: -1.5 (+104) | HOU: +1.5 (-125)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)

Red Sox vs Astros Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Garrett Crochet (Red Sox) - 13-4, 2.24 ERA vs Cristian Javier (Astros) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The Red Sox will give the nod to Garrett Crochet (13-4, 2.24 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 14 on the season, and the Astros will counter with Cristian Javier. Crochet's team is 13-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Crochet's team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (14-7). Last season Javier and his team went 3-4-0 against the spread in games he pitched. Javier's team was the underdog on the moneyline only one time in a game he pitched a season ago, and lost.

Red Sox vs Astros Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Red Sox win (55.9%)

Red Sox vs Astros Moneyline

• Houston is a +144 underdog on the moneyline, while Boston is a -172 favorite on the road.

Red Sox vs Astros Spread

• The Astros are hosting the Red Sox, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Astros are +104 to cover the spread, and the Red Sox are -125.

Red Sox vs Astros Over/Under

• The over/under for Red Sox-Astros on Aug. 11 is 7.5. The over is -102, and the under is -120.

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Red Sox vs Astros Betting Trends

• The Red Sox have won in 42, or 59.2%, of the 71 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• Boston has a record of 11-5 when favored by -172 or more this year.
• Contests with the Red Sox have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 57 of 118 chances this season.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 67-51-0 against the spread this season.
• The Astros have won 60.5% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (23-15).
• Houston has played in four games as a moneyline underdog with odds of +144 or longer and won each time.
• The Astros have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 51 times this season for a 51-62-4 record against the over/under.
• The Astros have covered 50.4% of their games this season, going 59-58-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Jarren Duran has an OPS of .790, fueled by an OBP of .331 to go with a slugging percentage of .458. He has a .264 batting average, as well.
• Among all qualifying hitters, he is 64th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 73rd, and he is 57th in slugging.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .259 with 23 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 19 walks, while slugging .439 with an on-base percentage of .300.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average places him 75th, his on-base percentage 135th, and his slugging percentage 70th.
• Trevor Story has 113 hits this season and has a slash line of .256/.301/.422.
• Wilyer Abreu leads Boston in total hits (83) this season while batting .251 with 35 extra-base hits.

Astros Player Leaders

• Jose Altuve has racked up a slugging percentage of .476, a team-best for the Astros. He's batting .287 with an on-base percentage of .350.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in the big leagues, his batting average is 20th, his on-base percentage ranks 43rd, and he is 36th in slugging.
• Altuve heads into this matchup on an eight-game hitting streak. In his last 10 games he is batting .390 with a double, four home runs, five walks and nine RBIs.
• Jeremy Pena has collected 110 hits with a .372 on-base percentage to pace his team in both. He has a batting average of .315 while slugging .487.
• Including all qualifying players, he is third in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage and 27th in slugging percentage.
• Yainer Diaz has 16 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 15 walks while batting .251.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .281 with 21 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks.

Red Sox vs Astros Head to Head

• 8/3/2025: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/2/2025: 7-3 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/1/2025: 2-1 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/21/2024: 4-1 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 8/20/2024: 6-5 BOS (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 8/19/2024: 5-4 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 8/11/2024: 10-2 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 8/10/2024: 5-4 HOU (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 8/9/2024: 8-4 HOU (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 8/30/2023: 7-4 HOU (Favorite: Astros, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -132, Underdog Moneyline: +112)

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