GB - Newbury - Race 5

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

13.3f

Handicap

Turf

Good to Firm (Good in places)

68.5K

VIEW

Verdict

A case can be made for each of the sextet but ORCHARD KEEPER took her form up a notch trying this trip for the first time at Goodwood 5 weeks ago, so Roger Varian's filly gets the nod to follow up. Star of Light can give her most to think about on handicap debut having been highly tried since her debut success, with last-time-out winners Dancingwithmyself and Incensed taken to fight out third.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Relished the step up in trip when winning 11-runner handicap at Goodwood (14f, good to firm, 4/1) 5 weeks ago, produced to lead over 1f out. Completely unexposed over this sort of distance, so it would be no surprise if she eeks out a bit more. 1st Pick 3 Orchard Keeper (Ire) Jockey: Jack Mitchell Trainer: Roger Varian J: Jack Mitchell T: Roger Varian	100	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Relished the step up in trip when winning 11-runner handicap at Goodwood (14f, good to firm, 4/1) 5 weeks ago, produced to lead over 1f out. Completely unexposed over this sort of distance, so it would be no surprise if she eeks out a bit more.
6	Bred in the purple and belied market weakness when scoring cosily in 8-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (9.5f) on debut in December, picking up well from off a modest gallop. Hasn't progressed as may have been expected since, fifth in a listed event at Goodwood 8 weeks ago. Now sent handicapping. 2nd Pick 6 Star Of Light Jockey: Tyler Heard Trainer: John & Thady Gosden J: Tyler Heard T: John & Thady Gosden	92	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Bred in the purple and belied market weakness when scoring cosily in 8-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (9.5f) on debut in December, picking up well from off a modest gallop. Hasn't progressed as may have been expected since, fifth in a listed event at Goodwood 8 weeks ago. Now sent handicapping.
2	Knocking on the door this spring and opened account for the campaign in 5-runner handicap at Chelmsford (13.3f) 6 weeks ago, coping fine with the longer trip under conditions that didn't test stamina. 3 lb higher here and unlikely to be far away returned to the grass. 3rd Pick 2 Dancingwithmyself (Ire) Jockey: James Doyle Trainer: Michael Bell J: James Doyle T: Michael Bell	99	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Knocking on the door this spring and opened account for the campaign in 5-runner handicap at Chelmsford (13.3f) 6 weeks ago, coping fine with the longer trip under conditions that didn't test stamina. 3 lb higher here and unlikely to be far away returned to the grass.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.